A class 3 race with 9 runners over 6 furlongs with 2 natural front running types amongst them and its a race where I have gone through each horse in turn and I can find a negative against all of them barring the one. Aljari may need this run for fitness, Blind Beggar a possible front runner but as this distance is too far for it I think it has to be ridden with some restraint to try and make its stamina last, Bosh has a much lower rating on this Polytrack surface compared to its Tapeta ratings plus a longer distance might suit it better, Brazen Idol is capable of producing decent ratings but that is in lower class races so it might be outclassed at this level but it could still run well but I doubt it can win, Expert Agent is another that seems to struggle to stay the sixth furlong and its best rating was recorded on the Tapeta surface at Newcastle, Masterclass has a high rating which it recorded at Chelmsford which has today's surface but its another one that does all its best form at a lower class of races i think it could go well but might be outclassed and I doubt it can win at this level, Rocking Ends has only poor form in its most recent races and I think will be an outsider in this race, Walking On Clouds has the stall 1 draw which is ideal for this front running type and if it was racing on the Tapeta surface it would most likely be the one I would back but its best Polytrack surface rating is way below that level. That's 8 down with just TYGER BAY 6/1 without a negative against its name, it won last time out about a month ago and has followed up a win with another win with roughly the same amount of days in between the wins so that's in its favour and will be the one carrying my money.
Tyger Bay 13/2 7th -1pt
Total on day -1pt
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