A very nice looking class 4 race with 12 runners of which just 2 are known as front running types and I think this race might be won from the front, Dickieburd in stall 3 is one of them but it would need to improve time wise to win this race and its win over this course and distance was a slow run affair so might get outpaced here and therefore not able to lead. There's a few which I believe will be biggish prices that I would lay if they were single figure prices but I doubt that will happen so I don't think I can find anything to lay in this race unless I lay something purely because of its low speed rating which could put Dickieburd, Solray and Secret Guest as possible lays but they will need to be of value to lay before I would consider placing money on them.
Clipsham La Habana comes out in 4th top spot if I use its best rating on the Tapeta surface but it was recorded at Wolverhampton and over this course and distance it has won but only in a slow run affair. Illusionist is my 3rd top rated and this ones rating was recorded here which is always a positive so it might be worth a small each way punt if its big enough price. Al Ameen is my 2nd top rated but in this ones case it was recorded on the Polytrack surface at Lingfield while its best course and distance rating would leave it a good few spots below what will be needed to win this race and it might even be worth taking on for the win part. My top rated is HAZLYM 15/2 who is the other front running type in the race and stall 11 is ideal for it, as there does seem to be a slight advantage running from a high draw and if leading could prove hard to catch and I like the jockey booking as he has only has 4 rides for the stable and won one of those races and looking at just rides on the stables older horses he is 1 win from 2 rides which I hope is a good pointer for its chances in this race.
Hazlym 22/1 Unp -1pt
Lay bets: Solray -2.25pts, Secret Guest +1pt
Total on the day - -2.25pts
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