A nice looking 11 runner dash with 3 known front running types in stalls 5, 10 and 11, and of that trio maybe Murbih 8/1 will do best as its the 3rd top rated horse on my unique figures but stall 11 certainly isn't ideal but if getting to the front could do enough to make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price. Newyorkstateofmind 15/2 has a rating on this surface at Newcastle but seems to struggle to reproduce that on courses where a bend slows the pace a little which helps but going around a bend it might be better when running over further so might be worth laying the win part on this horse if its a single figure price. Texas Man could gain control of the rails from stall 5 but would need to improve a good few spots time wise to win this race but it could play a big part in the outcome of this race if SPEED DIAL BAILEYS 9/2 from stall 6 can follow it across towards the rails and then get a good early position just behind the leaders waiting to pounce in the closing stages, the trainer has a 22% win ratio at this course and the jockey has a 37% win ratio when riding for this stable plus the stable has a record of 3-13 in the last 2 weeks which all seems to point to connections expecting a big run from this horse in this race.
Speed Dial Baileys 9/2 3rd -1pt
Lay bet: Newyorkstateofmind +1pt
Total 0pts
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