There are 4 horses in this field of 10 that have been known to lead before and that quartet contains my top 3 ratings also half of the field are 3yo’s which isn't ideal as they can still be improving, Fast And Loose 11/1 in stall 8 is 3rd top but this is using a time recorded at Newcastle on the Tapeta surface so would need to improve for the switch of surfaces to tin this race. Sitting in 2nd top spot is the front running Musical Tribute 13/2 from stall 1 so has the advantage of the rails to help him so ought to make the frame from the front and if the top rated horse falters it could lead all the way but I have CUBAN BREEZE 7/1 who showed a return to winning ways was close when finishing 2nd last time out and is rated a few spots higher and this front running sort is drawn in stall 6 and in the make-up of this race should either be able to get to the front or at least contest the lead from the off and then should be able to stay on the stronger nearing the finish.
Cuban Breeze 7/1 3rd -1pt
Total -1pt
CHELMSFORD 8.00
There are 2 known front running sorts in this dash and 5 of the 11 runners are 3yo’s but this time its a 3yo that I think will win the race, Lion Ring 14/1 is my 3rd top rated and one of the front running types in this race but it is using rating recorded on this Polytrack surface but it was at Lingfield this year which is virtually a replica of this course so it should be okay running here, I've got Suanni 11/1 rated 2nd best and once again its using ratings from Lingfield but this time it back in 2022 and its best rating for this year is well below that level but it bounce back to form anytime so it could make the frame but I will be relying on UNIVERSAL GRACE 7/2 who won over this course and distance last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here the jockey that day has been retained for the ride again here so I think that's a pointer to connections expecting it to go well again in this race as he has a 24% win ratio for the stable in this type of handicap.
Universal Grace 5/1 5th -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -2pts
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