A class 4 sprint with 9 runners of which 4 have been known to lead before but it looks likely they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace. Secret Moment, like a visit to spinning vegas casino, might be a better prospect over further while the top weight Twilight Madness will need to improve time wise to win this race, Gold Medal is my 3rd top rated and could be the one to set the pace to this race and could make the frame, Tyger Bay is my 2nd top rated and is usually either held up in midfield or at the rear of the field before trying to stay on strongly nearing the finish and my top rated horse Bellagio Man is another hold up type and this race should provide the fast early pace this one likes to aim at.
Each Way Bet: BELLAGIO MAN 14/1 8th (-2pts) , Bet GOLD MEDAL 9/2 6th (-1pt)
Lay TWILIGHT MADNESS 5/1 (+1pt) + SECRET MOMENT 3/1 (-3.33pts)
Total -5.33pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div II
I can see 3 known front running types in this 2nd division but in the make-up of this race it could be won from the front, Brasil Power may be better when racing over a longer distance and the same might apply to Rich Rhythm, like top online casino games, while Mohi seems to do its best when racing on the Polytrack surface. A Sure Welcome and Obtain my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses both like to track the leaders and could then stay on to make the frame so might be worth backing each way but if Aberama Gold can reproduce its best from the front it ought to lead all the way here and from stall 2 it should be able gain control of the rails which will help its cause.
Bet: ABERAMA GOLD 4/1 1st +4pts
Lay MOHI 4/1 (+1pt) + BRASIL POWER 9/4 (+1pt)
Total +6pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00
The 3rd of 3 sprints at this course today but this time I can only see 2 possible pacesetters in the shape of Peachey Carnehan but stall 11 isn't really ideal or Dark Design who can lead but is versatile with its racing tactics but being drawn in stall 1 it could be a good opportunity to try and win from the front but both would need to improve time wise to win this race. If May Remain is of value I would look to lay it as it seems better over a shorter distance, while Danzart hasn't made the frame in 6 previous runs on an artificial surface so another potential lay. Tantastic is my 3rd top rated but can struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace but might be ok in this race, Admirable Lad likes to track the leaders and is my 2nd top rated, Red Alert hasn't been in the best of form recently but recorded a rating over this course and distance last year that would see it winning this race with a bit too spare.
Small Each Way Bet: RED ALERT 100/1 Unp (-2pts)
Lay MAY REMAIN 7/1 (NA) + DANZART 9/4 (-1.625pts)
Total -3.625pts
Total on the day -2.95pts
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