Just 7 runners for this class 5 sprint with just Pinwheel known to have led before but this distance might be too short for it to win but never say never especially if allowed an easy lead and can the kick for home and pinch the race from the front. Batchelor Boy may need this run for fitness, Jupiter Express 13/2 may prefer a shorter distance, Street Parade 5/1 is another that may need the run for fitness, I think Forca Brasil 11/2 and Mount Mogan will be double figure priced outsiders but I'm wrong with one of them, which leaves me putting my money on BIG BARD 13/8 who usually races in midfield before staying on the stronger at the finish.
Big Bard 13/8 1st +1.625pts
Total +1.625pts
KEMPTON 9.00
Just 8 runners for this class 6 sprint where I expect Fiscal Policy, Lady Holly, Flagman and Raphel Jake to be outsiders in this race as they have shown very little worthwhile form, so it was a surprise when I saw Fiscal Policy was 9/2 joint 2nd favourite which always sets off the alarm bells in my head because on all known form it should have very little chance of winning this race so either they know a lot more than me or its of value to lay but which only time will tell. Dulcet Spirit 5/1 races as though a longer distance would suit it better and might be value to lay, my 3rd top rated is Magicinthemaking who might be better over further and it would need to improve a good few spots time wise to win this race but I'm not sure if I could lay it but my top 2 ratings look to have this race between them. AGAPANTHER 9/4 beat DELLA MARE 9/2 when they met last time out and strictly on the revised weights then the latter should turn the form around but the former that day could have been pushed a bit harder and it says it was eased nearing the finish in that race so the figures may not be 100% reliable but on all known form I can't see anything else in the race beating this pair but I doubt they will be worth dutching and I cannot say with any certainty which one of them will win so any bets in this race will depend on the odds available.
Della Mare 9/2 3rd -1pt
Agapanther 9/2 5th -1pt
Lay bets: Fiscal Policy +1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day +0.625pts
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