A field of 9 for a class 4 dash on hopefully good to firm ground and if it is then I would look to lay Princess Karine 13/2 who prefers some cut in the going and the same applies to Huddle Up 11/2 and both will be lays if single figure prices, Albegone has the top rating but may need this run for fitness, Glorious Rio stays on at the finish but this race might not be run to suit it, there is one horse that has been known to lead if nothing else wants to I'm hoping that OUR ABSENT FRIEND 15/2 can lead here and then kick for home and lead all the way.
Our Absent Friend 9/1 7th -1pt
Lay bets Princess Karine +1pt, Huddle Up +1pt
Total +1pt
CARLISLE 3.10
To be honest this class four, seven runner sprint is a race where it might be best not to have a bet, I can't work out what will set the early pace which always makes analysis that much harder, Westmorian races as though further might suit it better so this race might not be run to suit it, Thaki can produce a good rating but usually in lower class races and I can only see me putting PAPA COCKTAIL 5/2 into a multiple bet, it has won its last 2 races so is it tip top form and has been found a good opportunity to complete its hattrick.
Papa Cocktail 11/4 1st +2.75pts
Total +2.75pts
WINDSOR 5.00
A class 4 dash where 3 of the 8 runners have been known to lead before so it should be a fast run race for its class, La Roca Del Fuego is one of them but its only turf win came at a lower grade of racing, I will look to lay Antiphon who might be better when tackling a longer distance, Faustus is another possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated so could go well but they might push each other too hard in the early stages which might play into the hands of GLAMOROUS BREEZE 7/1 who usually races in midfield before saying on strongly at the finish but this one would like the going to be good to firm to show its best form.
Glamorous Breeze 7/1 1st +7pts
Lay bet Antiphon +1pt
Total +8pts
WINDSOR 6.35
A class 3 sprint with 10 entrants of which 2 are known as front running types and if Bear Profit gets to the front it could do enough to make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt, Count Otto comes out as my 3rd top rated on my own speed ratings and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish so another that could make the frame and a possible each way prospect, Lethal Nymph comes out in 2nd top spot and another that likes to track the leaders but my money will be riding on INDIAN CREAK 5/1 who likes to run in midfield before running on strongly at the finish and has good trainer/jockeys stats making me think the connections are expecting a big run in this race.
Indian Creek 5/1 3rd -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day +10.75pts
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