A class 4 sprint where I think A Sure Welcome could be the most likely one to set the pace to the race and being my joint 3rd top rated it could go well from the front. I'm not sure there is anything of value to lay in this race so I can't narrow the field down via that method, As If By Chance who is usually held up for a late run is the other joint 3rd top rated but will need some luck in running to become competitive but could possibly make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price. Lord P is actually my top rated but it will most likely need this run for fitness which puts me off its chances of winning and I expect it will be an outsider in this race, Beyond Equal likes to track the leaders and comes out in 5th top spot on my own unique speed ratings and being to the fore it could be another to do enough to make the frame but not if all those rated higher reproduce their best. My money will be riding on Lequinto who is another hold up type and being drawn near to where the early pace is most likely to come from it should get a good tow into the race and is dropped in class to run in this race and the jockey has a 1-3 record when riding the stables older horses.
Bet LEQUINTO 4/1 5th -1pt, Each Way: A Sure Welcome 22/1 9th -2pts
Lays NONE
Total on the day -3pts
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