A class 5 sprint with 11 runners and 4 known front running types, Cool Lightning 5/2 has been in good form winning 2 of its last 3 races but they have all been in relatively slow run races so might be worth taking on with a lay bet in this race and the same could be applied to Bobby On The Beat 13/2. Gold Medal 5/1 is my joint 4th top rated and is one of the possible pacesetters in this race and won last time out so is in tip top form so could do enough to be placed in this race but I doubt it will be an each way price, Lilkian 6/1 is my 3rd top rated and can be held up or run in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish and another that could make the frame. Swiss Pride is a front running type but stall 11 isn't ideal but if it can get to the front without exerting too much energy it could attempt to lead all the way, my 2nd top rated is Alaifdhal who is top rated using a rating recorded on the Tapeta surface at Southwell last year but its best rating on the Polytrack surface wouldn't be good enough to win here so I'm not really sure which way to turn but I think I will take a risk and back SWISS PRIDE 8/1 who becomes my top rated when taking into account the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim so looks to be the value call in the race and hope its good enough to get away smartly from its high draw and either lead all the way or at least race close to the front and then prove the stronger nearing the finish.
Swiss Pride 12/1 8th -1pt
Lay bets: Cool Lightning +1pt
Total 0pts
LINGFIELD 7.55
A class 6 dash with 10 runners and once again there are 4 known front running types amongst them, I will look to lay Reversion 13/2 who has finished 4th in all 3 of its most recent races but on recent form its held by Therehegoes 9/1 but even this one isn't in my top 4 ratings so they might both struggle to land a blow in this race. Sparked 7/2 won over today's course and distance last year but it was a comparatively slow run race that day which might have flattered it, it did finish 2nd last time out in a time just 1lb lower than its previous best. Toplight usually races in midfield or is held up and comes out 4th best on my figures, Autumn Flight my 3rd top rated and Mews House my 2nd top rated are both front running types so it should be a fast and furious early pace and might set the race up for something coming from off the pace and STORM MELODY 6/1 usually likes to track the leaders and then hope they fade while it stays on resolutely at the finish and the jockey has a decent 19% win ratio on the stables older horses.
Storm Melody 15/2 7th -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -1pt
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