A class 6 sprint with 11 runners and two possible pacesetters where I will look to lay Atlantic Heart 8/1 who might need further to show its best form. Mumcat 14/1 is my fourth top rated and can be held up or track the leaders and could possibly make the frame, Kapono 14/1 sits in third top spot using a rating it recorded at Southwell last year and another that can be held up or track the leaders and another one that could possibly make the frame. GUNNERSIDE 6/1 is my 2nd top rated horse using a Southwell rating recorded this year and is the one that i think will set the pace to the race and could be very dangerous if allowed an easy lead and I will be having a covering bet on it just in case it does lead all the way but I do have CROCODILE POWER 10/1 rated 2lbs higher and this one likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish and the jockey has a decent 17% win ratio for the stable and as usual when its a double figure price it has to be an each way wager.
Gunnerside 9/1 4th -1pt
Crocodile Power 10/1 9th -1pt
Total -2pts
NEWCASTLE 8.15
A class 6 dash with a full house of 14 runners with 2 known front running types amongst them, I will be looking to lay One Hart 6/1 who might need further to show its best form, Enraged 5/1 who has had 3 runs on this surface but done nothing of note time wise and my 3rd lay will be Kraken Power 8/1 who might also need further or a change of surface or maybe both before it can reproduce its best and its best rating wouldn't be good enough to win this race. Marwari is my 6th best rated with Primo's Comet in 5th top spot and there's only 2lbs between them and I have a trio of horses, Elzaal, Impressor and Nellie French, rated just 2lbs higher, so with just 4lbs between all 5 of them any of them could make the frame but if ANOTHER ANGEL 10/1 (EW) reproduces its best rating recorded over this course and distance this year then it would win a shade cosily and could be able to lead all the way in this race and is drawn high, stall 13, which does seem to be an advantage on this straight course and at a double figure price it has to be given as an each way wager.
Another Angel 14/1 9th -2pts
Lay bets Enraged +1pt, Kaken Power +1pt, One Hart +1pt
Total +1pt
Total on the day -1pt
No comments:
Post a Comment