A class 5 sprint with 11 runners and 3 known front running types amongst them, Level Up 10/1 might find this trip too far so a lay if a single figure price, Shades Of Summer 7/4 has never raced over this distance on the Tapeta surface and would need to improve on its best Polytrack rating to win here so one I will lay at the price. Watermelon Sugar is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders so could possibly make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price, Alafdhal is dropped in class here and its another that likes to track the leaders but could encounter trouble at the start with the make-up of this race so my money will be riding on MELLY'S FLYER 5/1 who is one of the front running types in the race its also my top rated and its another that's dropped in class so from stall 1 I hope it can lead all the way.
Melly's Flyer 5/1 5th -1pt
Total -1pt
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div I
A sprint stakes race which usually turn out quite competitive and in this race my stakes will be kept low, Reckon I'm Hot 9/2 may be one to lay here as its still a maiden after 12 races but as usual only if its of value to do so while Ellie Piper 6/1 seems better at shorter distances so is added to my lay list. Our Man In Havana and/or Blackcurrent 9/2 could set the pace to the race and the latter is my 3rd top rated so it could go well from the front and then only 1lb below Tommytwohoots 20/1 in 2nd top spot but this one hasn't been in good form recently, as usual i will stick with my top rated and that is MAY REMAIN 9/2 who was joint top but is being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice but stall 10 may not be ideal so my stakes will be kept low.
May Remain 9/2 1st +4.5pts
Lay bet: Reckon I'm Hot +1pt
Total +5pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 Div II
The 2nd division of the stakes race where this time the early pace ought to be set by my 3rd top rated horse Another Angel 8/1 so this one might be worth an each way interest, there doesn't appear to be anything worthwhile to lay in this race but I cannot see why *Beleaguerment is priced at 13/2 and it will be interesting to see if its backed and if it is I might be tempted to lay it, my 2nd top rated is Billian 7/4 who is forecast to be the favourite but I am going to side with EMBLA 4/1 who is forecast to be the 2nd favourite and if it reproduces its best 2022 rating over this course and distance it would win quite cosily and has good trainer and jockey stats to back it up.
*NR
Embla 9/1 4th -1pt
Total -1pt
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30
A class 6 dash this time with 11 runners and 3 known front running types in the field, Josies Kid my 3rd top rated is capable of winning a race like this but has been in dire form recently which has put me off its chances and I can't see why it should bounce back to form here, Glorious Charmer 7/2 has been running well lately but time wise they have been slow run affairs so may be under priced here so may be worth opposing to small stakes, Amazing Amaya 4/1 comes out in 4th top spot and usually tracks the leaders but I doubt it will be an each way price, my money will be riding on the front running ROCKLEY POINT 8/1 but the stall 10 draw tempers my confidence and if it had been drawn better I think it would have been a shorter price, so again my stakes are kept low, its best rating came from Newcastle which is a straight course but has run to within a pound of that last year running round a bend so if getting to the front it could prove to be a hard nut to crack.
Rockley Point 9/1 5th -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day +2pts
No comments:
Post a Comment