A class 5 sprint with 9 runners with Woodlands Charm who might need this run for fitness and Cool Lightning 10/3 who is my 4th top rated known as front running types so the latter could possibly do enough from the front to make the frame but I have doubts about its chance of winning this race, Melody Cher 5/1 might need further before it shows its true form while Coup De Force 9/1 might need to race over a shorter distance to show its best form and this pair might be worth laying if of value to do so, Sweet Mist has shown nothing worthwhile and will I expect be the outsider in this race. Angel Amadea is my 3rd top rated so could make the frame, Kensington Agent is my 2nd top rated and usually races in midfield before staying on at the finish but my money will be riding on STARSONG 9/2 who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish, it hasn't run over at this course before but its ratings from both Wolverhampton and Southwell are with 1lb of each other so should be ok running here.
Starsong 9/2 6th -1pt
Lay bet: Melody Cher +1pt
Total 0pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00
An 11 runner stakes race over the minimum trip and these rated 50 and under are a lot of the time very hard to analyse and only because I've found a horse that could win or at least should make the frame. I'm not sure if there will be anything worthwhile laying so just looking for the winner. Ellie Piper likes to track the leaders and is 4th top on my figures, Master Sully is 3rd top but that is using a Polytrack rating from Lingfield but its 2 runs over this course and distance have produced slow times low enough not to register on my graphs. Mrs Bagerran 16/1 is a possible pacesetter in this race while stall 11 isn't ideal it might be ok in this race and might be worth an each way interest and if getting across to be at the front it run well but the horse is still a maiden after 27 runs but has made the frame 5 of those race but my top rated horse HARD SOLUTION 12/1 is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics and that does include leading and stall 4 might be ideal in the make-up of this race for this one to gain control of the rails and then could prove hard to catch.
Hard Solution 14/1 3rd -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -1pts
No comments:
Post a Comment