A class 5 sprint with 2 known front running types and of that pair Gold Medal 9/2 is my 2nd top rated so if this one runs to its best a lot of these wont be able to get involved in the race. Thismydream 7/2 recorded a low rating over this course and distance but did do a better one at Chelmsford but even that isn't good enough to win this race so maybe one to lay if of value, I'm not sure if Swiss Pride 7/1 will be a single figure price but if it is then I will lay this one also. One More Dream 5/2 is my 3rd top rated and it likes o track the leaders but hasn't run on this surface before and will need to improve for the switch to win this race but its certainly not one I could lay if it was fancied in the betting but my money will be riding on LILKIAN 4/1 as its trainer does quite well at this course and as usual is my top rated so has to be the one to carry my money.
Lilkian 4/1 3rd -1pt
Lay bets: Thismydream +1pt,Swiss Pride +1pt
Total +1pt
KEMPTON 8.30
Again 10 runners but a class 6 sprint this time and also once again there's 2 known front running types in the race. Show Me A Sunset may find the distance too far if its a fast run race so a lay if a single figure price, Seas Of Elzaam 7/2 might be better off racing over further and one I will look to lay. Phoenix Star is capable of recording a decent rating but if the early pace is really fast it can then struggle to stay the distance, Kondratiev Wave is one of the possible pacesetters and my 3rd top rated but hasn't been in good form lately but it could make the frame if bouncing back to its best, I've got joint top rated horses in SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 7/2 who is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics and in this race i expect it to race from off the pace and does have the number 1 stall draw to help its chances and won last time out so is in tip top form, WINNETKA 16/1 (EW) is my other joint top rated and this is one of those most likely to set the pace and if getting to the front from stall 10 it could prove hard to catch and at the price I couldn't let it run without having a small each way bet, so I will go with backing both of them to cover the angles.
Sir Rodneyredblood 13/2 1st +6.5pts
Winnetka 16/1 8th -2pts
Total +4.5pts
Total on the day +5.5pts
1 comment:
Sir Rodney won cozily lovely thank you
Post a Comment