A 12 runner race where I can see 3 horses that could lead but it looks likely that they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace. Toplight 11/2 might struggle to say the distance with the fast early pace so maybe one to lay, Viewfromthestars 11/2 my 4th top rated and Dark Design 7/1 my 3rd top rated are both versatile with their racing tactics and that includes leading so either could do enough to make the frame but neither are what I would call each way prices, Real Estate 12/1 sits in 2nd top spot and likes to track the leaders so could make the frame and maybe worth an each way wager if it stays at a double figure price nearing the off while my top rated horse DEPUTISE 18/1 can be held up or track the leaders it hasn't been in the best of form recently and it looks to have had excuses in most of those races but the switch of jockey looks a significant as his record is 3 wins from just 7 rides for the stable.
Deputise 25/1 9th -1pt
Total -1pt
SOUTHWELL 4.20
This class 4 dash has 6 front running types amongst the 14 entrants and it looks most likely it will be won from the front, *Justcallmepete 5/1 might prefer further so I will look to lay it, Bert Kibler 7/1 is my 3rd top rated and could do best of those coming from off the pace and if the leaders battle too hard and fade it could possibly win the race but I will hope that doesn't happen, Khabib 10/1 comes out in 2nd top spot and is in stall 2 while my top rated horse ANGLE LAND 4/1 is drawn in stall 13 and if this one gets to the front it ought to prove too hard to catch.
*NR
Angle Land 9/2 2nd -1pt
Total -1pt
LINGFIELD 4.35
A field of 9 for this 5 furlong dash with 4 of the runners having been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious race. Storm Melody 7/1 won last time out but might be outclassed as its never won at this level before but could still run a decent race so I will look to lay it but only for the win part, Man On A Mission 7/2 could do best of the rest coming from off the pace but looks too short in the betting for its actual chance of winning this race, The Defiant 12/1 is a front running type and could go well but hasn't been in good form recently so not sure what to expect, so I will be hoping the top weight PABLO DEL PUEBLO 9/2 can get to the front and prevail but this one also hasn't won at this level before but this does look the easiest class 5 race its ever ran in which is the reason why its the top weight.
Pablo Del Pueblo 9/2 8th -1pt
Total -1pt
NEWCASTLE 6.20
I can see 2 front running types in this 11 runner dash in the shape of High Security and Murbih 9/2 who is my 4th top rated, I will look to lay Princess Karine 12/1 who may prefer further and its wins on Turf have come in slow run races if its a single figure price, Kraken Power 3/1 is my 3rd top rated and like the 2nd top rated Our Absent Friends 7/1 likes to track the leaders so they should ensure the pace is fast which could play into the hands of GOLDEN RAINBOW 12/1 (EW) and the jockey has a respectable 17% win ratio when riding for the stable and as usual at the price it has to be an each way bet.
Golden Rainbow 12/1 8th -2pts
Total -2pts
NEWCASTLE 8.20
A problem race with no known front running types so any stakes are automatically going to be lower than normal, Henry Hawk might be better over further so this race might not be run to suit it and might be worth laying if a single figure price, One Hart 9/2 is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders but also might need further so this race might not suit it, Kapono 11/1 is capable of winning this race but hasn't been in good form lately and the apprentice jockey has a poorish 6% strike rate for the stable, I will take a punt on TATHMEEN 9/1 it is a hold up type but has got a better final kick than most of these so hopefully can get to the front in time but as I said it will only be for small stakes.
Tathmeen 11/1 3rd -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -6pts
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