Half of the 8 runners in this race have been known to lead before so it should be a true run race and I think this race will be won from the front but if pushed then Bellagio Man might do best of those coming from off the pace but this one has been known to be slowly away and that would virtually negate any chance of it winning in this race. I will be looking to lay Fin Wine 8/1 who has been known to lead before but can also struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace so this race ought to expose any weakness in its stamina while King Of Bavaria might prefer a longer trip so if they go off too fast and fade badly then this is one that could be dangerous but that doesn't happen very often in class 2 sprints so it might be another one to lay and Brazen Bolt falls into the same category and might be another to add to the list if a single figure price. I'm not sure if Fivethousandtoone really likes this Tapeta surface as its best rating came on the Polytrack surface at Kempton. Late Crusader hasn't been in good form recently but I expect it to be an outsider in this race. So that leaves 2 horses DILIGENT HARRY 9/4 who finished 2nd last timeout at Lingfield in a fast time and I wasn't sure before that run if it would appreciate the Polytrack surface and its dropped in class to run in this race so has to have every chance but I do have SIR ROBIN 5/1 as my top rated and this one won last time out in a class 3 race and has earned the chance to move up a grade and it could be an improving 4yo so also has to have a good chance of winning this race so i will be backing them both to cover both angles.
Diligent Harry 9/4 1st 2.25pts
Sir Robin 5/1 5th -1pt
Lay bet: Brazen Bolt +1pt
Total on the day +2.25pts
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