A class 6 sprint with 13 runners but just the one known front runner, Port Noir if a single figure price would be a lay as it looks a better prospect when racing on the Polytrack surface, I can see 5 other horses that appear to have virtually no hope but I expect them to be outsiders in the betting. PORTELET BAY in stall 5 could be the one to set the pace to this race and is my 2nd top rated at either here or Newcastle so could possibly steal this race from the front while RED ALERT is the one that's top rated but both of them have been in poor form recently which is off-putting. The top weighted WEE FAT MAC 6/1 is my top rated just using Southwell ratings but hasn't run at this course before but could go well if taking to it and might be the one to concentrate on but I will look to dutch all 3 of them and hopefully they will be all be of value to place an each way punt on.
Red Alert 16/1 3rd -1pt
Wee Fat Mac 6/1 4th -1pt
Portelet Bay 17/2 8th -1pt
Lay bet Poir Noir +-1pt
Total -2pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div I
This is the first division of a low class stakes race where the highest official rating is 52 or below, Arzaak seems to prefer the Polytrack surface while Black Box 6/1 may need further and I would lay them if single figure prices. Nacho and The Gloaming are just outside my top 3 ratings so will need to improve unless others falter. TOPLIGHT 6/1 is well handicapped as it was rated 58 last time it won and racing off a rating of 49 in this race it finished 2nd 2 runs ago but was pushed too far back last time out and didn't really get into the race so could go well here. Moveonup is a front running type and has the stall 1 draw also is my top rated using Southwell times but is held on recent form by EMBLA 7/1 who won last time out and has been found a decent opportunity to follow up here.
Toplight 61 1st +6pts
Embla 7/1 5th -1pt
Total +5pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 Div II
This looks the weaker of the 2 divisions and certainly wont take much winning. Alyas Gold Award and Liberty Bay both race as though further would suit them better so might be worth laying if a single figure price. Hot Hot Hot, Nellie French, San Juan and Thegreyvtrain could all run decent races and battle for the minor offers especially the latter, in stall 6, who is one of only two known front running types in this race but this one could need the run for fitness. I think the other front running type BERNARD SPEIRPOINT 6/5 who has the stall 1 draw so it should be able to gain control from the off and get back to winning ways.
Bernard Speirpoint 6/5 1st + 1.2pts
Total + +1.2pts
Total on the day +4pts
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