A class 3 sprint with 9 runners with 5 of them having been known to lead before, Sir Robin won twice on turf and one race was a fast run affair so if taking to this surface could be a danger, its 3rd place finish over today's distance at Newcastle can be ignored as it was either a slow run race or the going was running slow, which seems to be happening quite a lot on the Tapeta surface, maybe something to do with how they harrow the surface before racing, maybe doing it one way is faster than the other, I don't know why I'm just guessing but it is becoming frustrating with the inconsistency in the going. Politics and Murbih are my joint 2nd top rated horses and with both of them being front running types they could take some pegging back, I do have AlAFDAL 11/2 (EW) rated higher and this one has been in tip top form but is now raised from class 5 up to class 3, it has been an improving type but this just might be a step too far for it and I would only look to back it if its of value to back and an each way price would be perfect.
Alafdal 11/2 4th -2pts
Total -2pts
SOUTHWELL 8.00
Back to class 6 level for this dash with 12 runners but only Another Angel known as a front running type and being my joint 3rd top rated it could go well from the front so might be worth an each way interest, Storm Melody, Bluebird, Ubahha and Dapper Man all seem to need further to show their best so this race might not be run to suit them I couldn't lay Bluebird with 100% confidence so I couldn't back or lay it, two of them will probably be double figure prices which will leave just Storm Melody 4/1 worth laying, Amazing Amaya is my other joint 3rd top rated horse and like the top 2 ratings likes to track the leaders, Stroxx sits in 2nd top spot despite looking as though further would suit it better but my top rated horse is *BRANDY STATION 13/1 who I tipped up when it won at 25/1 in September and that day it was the top weight, so theoretically the best horse in the race, and is the top weight again here and with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim moving it even further clear at the top of my ratings.
*NR
Lay Bet Storm Melody +1pt
Total +1pt
Total on the day -1pt
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