A field of 12 for this class 5 sprint but there is only one true front running type in the race so the whole race could be based on how SWISS PRIDE 16/1 (EW) runs here, its not got the ideal draw out widest of all in stall 12 but if nothing else wants to battle for the lead it could get across to the rails and then take command of the race and then prove too hard to catch and at the price has to be worth an each way punt. I think the three year old Justcallmepete 10/3 might need further to show its best form so I will look to lay it if its value to do so, Show Me A Sunset 10/1 can find the distance too far with a good early gallop and another to lay if its a single figure price near the off, Random Rocks 12/1 may be outclassed here and another possible lay again if a single figure price near the off. Lilkian has good trainer stats and comes out in 2nd top spot but could possible get squeezed out in the early stages, Seneca Chief 16/1 from stall 2 will I suspect try and gain control of the rails and could make the frame.
Swiss Pride 16/1 2nd +2.2pts
Lay bets Justcallmepete -1.875pts
Total +0.325pts
KEMPTON 6.30
Only 7 runners for this class sprints with just one known front running type in the race. Sarah's Verse 8/1 might be better on the Tapeta surface, Makinitup might need a longer distance, Alacazan 7/2 might be outclassed at this level while Trusty Rusty 7/1 might find the distance a bit too far for especially if there's a fast early gallop, Ratting 6/1 is another that might better on the Tapeta surface. Which leaves me with Starsong 9/2 who has never run on this surface before and would be dangerous if able to reproduce its Newcastle Tapeta rating but as usual I will stick with proven and rely on ALGHEED 4/1 leading from start to finish and jockey is 1-3 for the stable so hopefully they are expecting it to get back to winning ways here.
Algheed 4/1 3rd -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -0.675pts
No comments:
Post a Comment