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Tuesday, 4 October 2022

7:30 Southwell Racing Tips (4th October)

SOUTHWELL 7.30 

Quite a complex race with form lines over today's course and distance and also over the distance at Wolverhampton and Newcastle and the fact that there doesn't appear to be any known front runner in the field doesn't help matters, the 3yo Prayer Matt has a rating from on turf which would make it my top rating but the horse is still a maiden after 14 races but did make the frame in 6 of those races so might be an each way proposition but whether it can break its duck I doubt it, The Tron 7/1 likes to stay on at the finish but this race might not be run to suit it and the same could apply to Maybe Tonight 6/1, there are others that could be laid but I doubt they will be of value to lay, Khulu is my 2nd top rated using only course and distance ratings since the Tapeta surface was laid here, I will go with backing 2 runners in this race, firstly TOPLIGHT 7/1 who comes out in top spot using either Wolverhampton or Newcastle times and has won 3 times before on the AW, secondly there's COOL SPIRIT 22/1 who comes out in top spot on just course and distance ratings but the stable hasn't had a winner for quite a while now else it might well have been my only selection in this race, without a guaranteed earlier fast early pace my stakes will be kept low.

Toplight 7/1 5th -1pt 
Cool Spirit 22/1 Unp 

Total on the day -2pts

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