SOUTHWELL 7:30
An 11 runner race with just Ustath 16/1 being known as a front running type and being my 3rd top rated it could do enough from the front to make the frame so might be worth an each way punt, I will look to lay Tantastic who can struggle to stay the distance if there's a good early pace and i think that will happen here, Bomb Squad races as though further might suit it better so this race might be run to suit it but if can get to the front in time I'm not sure but I couldn't back or lay this one, Capla Spirit hasn't been in good from lately but on its day its capable of producing a decent rating, the three year old SOI DAO 9/2 is my top rated on just course and distance ratings since the new surface was laid and could improve further being a youngster and the stable has had three winner from its twelve runners over the last two weeks.
Soi Dao 7/1 3rd -1pt
Total -1pt
SOUTHWELL 8:00
This is a class 4 dash with 9 runners and two known front running types, Colombe 7/2 has been in decent form on turf lately but its best ratings have all come in lower class races so looks poor value in my opinion so its one I will look to lay, Sampers Seven, Four Adaay and Second Collection have pieces of form that could see them run well as for the winner I think this race could be won from the front as RIVERSWAY 9/1 recorded a rating on turf at Chester that would make it my top rated so could be very dangerous if taking to this surface, INSTINCTION 4/1 is my top rating using just recent course and distance ratings and as they both like to lead I'm not sure which one is the more capable of setting the pace so splitting my money between them looks the way to go.
Riversway 9/1 1st +9pts
Instinction 4/1 8th -1pt
Lay bet Colmbe +1pt
Total +9pts
Total on the day +8pts
No comments:
Post a Comment