This division has just the one, Araifjan, known front running type and if it gets an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame being my 3rd top rated horse, the 3yo Ischia was made favourite for its last race where it finished 4th and hasn't won in 7 previous attempts to break its duck and its one run at Lingfield wasn't a good race and it failed to register on my figures so maybe worth laying and hope the switch to this Tapeta surface doesn't see the horse improve, The Nail Gunner is my 2nd top rated and could therefore make the frame so maybe worth an each way wager if its a big enough price, my money will be riding on the 3yo YAAHOBBY 10/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and as usual at the price it has to be an each way wager.
Yaahobby 10/1 6th -2pt
Lay bets Ischia +1pt
Total -1pt
WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30 Div II
Just 8 runners for this 2nd division so I hope they all run in case I find an each way wager, there is a couple of known front running types, Apache Star and Eldeyaar, and they are my joint 4th top rated so there should be a decent early pace but I doubt either can do enough to hold on for the win, Palifico is my 3rd top rated so could be worth an each way punt, my 2nd top rated horse Another Angel can struggle to stay the distance if the early pace is really fast, it prefers to lead, which I doubt will happen here and then set its own slightly slower pace so as to save something for the finish but I will be backing the 3yo JUSTJAMIE 14/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and once again the price means I can go with an each way wager.
Justjamie 14/1 6th -2pts
Total -2pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30
I should probably leave this race alone because 4 of the 7 runners are 3yo who could still improve from their last run without warning and a lack of data makes it much harder to analyse properly but the top weight SARAH'S VERSE 10/3 is my top rated and a repeat of its best rating over this course and distance this year would see it winning the race a shade cosily that's if nothing else improves rapidly so I'm hoping it will be worth a small wager.
Sarah's Verse 10/3 3rd -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -4pts
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