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Saturday, 20 August 2022

2:45 Brighton Racing Tips (21st August)

BRIGHTON 2.45 

I hope all 8 runners take part in this class 4 race where I can see four known front running types one of them *Holbache 4/1 might not be up to winning at this level and might be worth laying if a short enough price while both of the other two possible pacesetters, Smeaton's Light 11/2 and Michael's Choice 7/1, would need to improve time wise to be winning this race, Batchelor Boy 5/1 has one time that would make it my top rated but that time which was recorded over this course and distance might have been a fluked time where everything fell into its favour, I will be relying on the fourth and final front running type HELVETIQUE 11/2 in this race and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and the jockey has a decent 16% win ratio on the stables runners. 

*NR

Helvetique 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt

SANDOWN 4.12 

A strange race for one over the minimum distance with only one known front runner in the shape of Silky Wilkie who comes out sixth on my figures and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead, the three year old Edward Cornelius 15/2 could be a lay if its a single figure price as it doesn't seem to like fast good to firm ground, Devils Angel 15/2 would need to improve quite a few spots time wise to win this race so maybe another one to lay, The Thin Blue Line and Primos Comet are capable of recording fast times but have never won at class 3 level but I doubt they will be of value to lay, unless your a big risk taker, Treacherous comes out in 2nd top spot so could make the frame but my money will be riding on the improving four year old GLORIOUS BREEZE 15/2 who has made the frame in all of its last six races, winning two of them and should be capable of at least making the frame again here and has a chance of following up its win last time out Salisbury but because it is raised in class my stakes will be kept low.

Glorious Breeze 15/2 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Edward Cornelius +1pt

Total 0pts

Total -1pt 

  

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