An 11 runner race with 3 that have been known to lead before but 2 of them Glasstrees who might be outclassed and May Remain who would need to improve time wise,could struggle to hold on for the win, I'm not sure I can find anything of value to lay in this race, Street Life 4/1 could go well in this race but isn't an each way price and it might not be able to pick up the front running ORNATE 10/1 (EW) who could prove hard to catch if getting to the front and is dropped in class to run in this race but the trainer has had 53 runners since their last winner which doesn't inspire confidence but this looks the easiest task it has had for quite a while and could get back to winning ways here and i like the look of the jockey booking even though he has never ridden for the stable before and at the price on offer it has to be an each way bet.
Ornate 10/1 9th -2pts
Total -2pts
SOUTHWELL 4.30 Div I
Thirteen runners with just Lancashire Life known as a front running type although I doubt it can lead all the way for the victory and hasn't been in good form lately plus this distance seems too short for it so maybe, if anything decided to lead, it wouldn't be fast enough to lead in this race, the 3yo Pokhara 5/1 is making its debut on an artificial surface and only has slow times over this distance on grass and might be worth laying as long as it doesn't drift before the off, another 3yo Summer Secrets could go well here if bouncing back to form as it hasn't been in good form lately and it was a slow pace it set last time out over 7 furlongs when finishing 2nd last time out, Glorious Charmer is my 3rd top rated and is closely rated with Independence Day on recent course and distance figures but i will be taking a punt on ARNOLD 5/1 who hasn't won on the AW in 12 runs although it has made the frame in 7 of those races, the trainer is 0-19 at this course over the last 5 years but the jockey is 1-4 when riding for the stable and is 1 from 1 with their older horses which is what I am hoping will be enough for it to get back to winning ways in this race.
Arnold 5/1 5th -1pt
Total -1pt
SOUTHWELL 5.05 Div II
The most likely looking pacesetter is Cool Spirit but hasn't shown anything much time wise on this surface so not for me, I will look to lay the top weight Marwari who can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace which could happen here with a few that like to track the leaders and therefore force to early pacesetters to go faster, Slate Cracker could be an improving 3yo but would need to improve a good few spots to win this race, Dylan's Lad finished 3rd last time out but it was a slow run affair but its best rating from 2021 would make it competitive and could make the frame, Twentysharesofgrey is my 2nd top rated using course and distance speed ratings so another that could may the frame but I will be backing BOMB SQUAD 7/1 who stays on strongly at the finish over this distance but is my top rated on course and distance ratings and has a positive looking jockey booking.
Bomb Squad 7/1 4th -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -4pts
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