Not a bad looking class 2 dash where half of the 10 runners have been known to lead before so I expect it will be fast and furious if that's possible over this stiff course, I think it will be a race where I will back one of the likely pacemakers and one that comes from off the pace to cover the angles, Hurricane Ivor 10/1 would need to improve on its best 2021 rating to win this race and hasn't shown anything worthwhile in its 3 runs this year so could be worth laying if a single figure price, King Of Stars 11/2 is my 4th top rated and a possible pacesetter and could make the frame if others falter but isn't really an each way price, Count D’Orsay 7/1 is my 3rd top rated but doesn't seem completely at ease on fast good to firm ground, i have joint top rated horses in LAMPANG 12/1 (EW) who likes to run from the front and recorded its best time at Hamilton last year so should be ok on this course, DUBAI STATION 16/1 (EW) usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger in the closing stages and this race could be run to suit it as the early pace could be too fast and then some would fade nearing the finish but neither of my 2 bets have good trainer stats but luckily they are both each way prices so I will be having two each way wagers.
Lampang 12/1 3rd +1.4pts
Dubai Station 16/1 9th -2pts
Total -0.6pts
REDCAR 4.02
This is a typical class 6 stakes race which wont take much winning, and most have not been in great form of late and only 4 horses have wins over this distance to their name and 3 of those wins are course and distance winners, Newgate Angel could set the pace to the race it would need to improve time wise to win the race but could do enough to make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt, Stroxx is my 3rd top rated but hasn't ever won over today's distance but could possibly make the frame, Koropick comes out in 2nd top spot but once again hasn't won over this distance so my money will be riding on CUPPACOCO 7/2 who is my top rated and ran well last time out when finishing 2nd and has been found an ideal opportunity to go one better here and get back to winning ways.
Cuppacoco 11/2 2nd -1pt
Total -1pt
LINGFIELD 7.05
One front running type in this race is Enduring who could go well from the front and might be worth an each way interest if allowed to set a slower early pace but I doubt it will be allowed an easy lead in this race,, *Iconic Knight 6/1 won last time out over a furlong further than today's distance so might get outpaced here in the early stages but does come out in 3rd top spot using a Tapeta rating but that surface does seem to suit it better and maybe worth laying in this race, my 2nd top rating is Pablo Del Pueblo 12/1 who is the other horse known to lead before and could go well here after running on turf in its last few races and doing very little in its last 3 runs but the switch to this Polytrack surface could rejuvenate it and might be worth an each way interest but my money will be on COME ON GIRL 11/2 who is a course and distance winner and my top rated and the jockey booking looks a positive as he has a 27% win ratio on all the stables runners and 50% win ratio on the stables older horse, he won on the horse 2 runs ago but it was beaten last time out with an apprentice taking the ride but the switch back to today's jockey makes me believe connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race.
*NR
Come On Girl 6/1 1st +6pts
Total 6pts
Total on the day +4.4pts
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