A nice class 2 race with 12 runners and 3 of them have been known to lead before and all 3 of them, Emperor Spirit, Tomouh and If You dare, are my co-fourth top rated horses so they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace, Wonder Elzaam is my 3rd top rated with Marks Bear sitting in 2nd top spot but this ones jockey is 0-18 for the stable so I will be hoping that DUBAI STATION 11/2 who is a hold up type can get a clear run when attempting to make its move and is 2 from 2 on an artificial surface.
Dubai Station 11/2 5th -1pt
Total -1pt
PONTEFRACT 3.30
A six runner race where Equiano Springs looks the most likely one to set the pace to the race and being my 2nd top rated horse it could prove hard to catch for most of the runners and if allowed an easy lead it could possibly pinch this race from the front, I would look to lay both *Gumdrop and Persuasion 5/1 if of value to do so, the former is a hold up type and time wise would need to improve a good few spots while the latter may need a longer distance to show its best form and this race might not be run to suit it, the one I will be backing needs good to firm ground to show its best so if the going is as required then BAY BREEZE 10/1 who usually likes to track the leaders ought to finish the stronger and get back to winning ways.
*NR
Bay Breeze 10/1 3rd -1pt
Lay bet Persuasion +1pt
Total 0pts
PONTEFRACT 5.15
A lowly class 6 dash with 11 runners and 3 known front running types and two of them, Imperial Khan and Canaria Prince are my joint 4th and 3rd top rated horses so could possibly do enough from the front to make the frame, the betting will decide whether I find anything worthwhile to lay but it looks unlikely, Young Tiger is my other joint 4th top rated but not be able to pick up the leaders early enough to win this race, Stroxx is well weighted on its best form and usually runs ok but doesn't win as often as it possibly should, I will be siding with ELZAAL 5/1 who can be held up or track the early pacesetters and will be trying to pick up the leaders as the finish approaches and its best time from Ripon earlier this year would see it winning and the trainer does have a decent strike-rate at this course.
Elzaal 11/2 2nd -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -2pts
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