What a poor start to the days sprints, a 12 runner race but not one known front running type amongst them which automatically puts me on the back foot, I will look to lay Enraged 7/2 who races as though a longer distance would suit it better and this race doesn't look likely to be run to suit its style, as for the winner I have narrowed it down to 3 runners, BRAZEN BELLE 11/1 is my top rated and won at this distance 2 runs ago at Ripon and then didn't stay the 6th furlong in its last run but the trainer is 0-11 at this course and the jockey is 0-5 for the stable so I couldn't back just this one here, HOT SCOOP 13/2 is my 2nd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish so a low early pace might not suit, it also has poor trainer 0-4 and jockey 0-6 stats and its been 38 runners over the last 288 days since the stable last had a winner, my 3rd top rated ELZAAL 6/1 has slightly better trainer/jockey stats and the trainer has had 4 winners in the last 2 weeks, there is only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings so any could win but my stakes will be kept low.
Elzaal 6/1 3rd -1pt
Brazen Belle 11/1 Unp -1pt
Hot Scoop 9/1 Unp
Lay bet Enraged -4pts
Total -7pts
BEVERLEY 3.10 Div II
This 2nd division isn't much better apart from the fact it has 2 known front runners, pity there wasn't one in each division, of the 2 I expect Newgate Angel to do best and if allowed an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame as its my 3rd top rated, I will look to lay Gorgeous General 7/1 who has only slow times on turf and is 0-16 on grass and I doubt that will change here, there two 3yo’s Primo 7/2 and Chant For More 9/1 who could be worth laying but I am adverse to laying these youngsters especially when there looks to be a safer lay in the race, Mokaman is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and could stay on to make the frame but i will be backing CUPPACOCO 12/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and if able to reproduce its best rating from 2021 at Thirsk it would win with a bit in hand and has good trainer/jockey stats with their elder horses with a double figure price on offer it has to be an each way wager.
Cuppacoco 14/1 Unp -2pts
Lay bet Gorgeous General +1pt
Total -1pt
CHELMSFORD 8.50
Nine runners with just one known front running type in the field, I will look to lay Amasova 9/1 who does its best ratings over shorter distances, Bomb Squad does come out 2nd best but that's using a time recorded on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton and drops to 3rd best on Polytrack figures only using a time from Kempton but I think a longer trip might suit it better, The Nail Gunner 5/2 has only slow times to its name both here and at Kempton so could be another one to lay especially at such a relatively short price, Brazen Arrow comes out in 2nd top spot on Polytrack times while the one I will be punting on is I AM A DREAMER 14/1 (EW) who is my top rated using a course and distance time it recorded last year and is the front running type I mentioned earlier and if getting to the front and fully fit it could lead all the way for the victory but at the price on offer it has to be an each way bet.
I Am A Dreamer 14/1 7th -2pts
Total -2pts
Total on the day -10pts
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