A field of 6 for this dash but with no known front running types in the race it always puts me on the backfoot and means my stakes will kept fairly low, Rhythm 15/2 might need further and this race might not be run to suit its racing style, Coleys Koko 14/1 and Lady Celia 7/1 are capable of producing a good speed figure but usually in lower class races than today's class 4 affair, Esken Rose 6/1 hasn't any distance form to its name but has faded at 6 furlongs so today's distance might be ideal, Elegant Erin 7/4 would need to improve time wise to win this race, it has won its last 3 races and might now be in the grip of the official handicapper so I will put my faith in HAVEAGOMECCA 3/1 who has decent trainer/jockey stats and could go one place better than when it finished second last time out.
Haveagomecca 17/2 2nd -1pt
Total -1pt
PONTEFRACT 4.45
I was going to omit this race from tonight's blog and as for looking for the winner I am leaving this race alone it was only when i saw the betting that I noticed how short in price True Mason 10/3 was and at that price will be looking to lay it, it did win last time out at Doncaster on good going but if the going here is good to firm as forecast then this horse who hasn't produced its best before when on the faster ground may struggle in this race.
Lay Bet True Mason +1pt (13/8f)
Total +1pt
WINDSOR 6.15
The 2 3yo’s in this race could be dangerous, Sterling Knight 10/3 is my 3rd top rated using a c/d time recorded earlier this year while Witch Hunter 5/2 has never run on good or good to firm ground before but has a rating from the AW at Wolverhampton that would make it my 2nd top rated but price wise they are bot way too short in my opinion so I will stick with the proven and put my money on INDIAN CREAK 9/2 who has a rating over this c/d recorded this year that would see it winning this race a shade cosily but once again there isn't any known front running types in this race which is always a worry and means I will be keeping my stakes fairly low in this race as well.
Indian Creak 9/2 1st +4.5pts
Total 4.5pts
MUSSELBURGH 7.30
Just 8 runners which is ideal if they all run, Sixcor 11/4 is my 4th top rated and has been in good form lately so could go well again here and be trying to stay on at the finish but I doubt it will get to the leader in time to win this race and at the price I will look to lay it, Hey Mr 10/1 is another who may need further but will be trying to stay on at the finish, Birkenhead 5/1 is my 3rd top rated and I usually held up for a late run, Sound Of Iona 20/1 is always capable of winning at this level but has been in poor form time wise recently and usually gives a signal when its coming into form so my money will be riding on GOWANBUSTER 11/2 who is the only known front running type in this race and if given an easy lead and allowed to set the pace it could lead all the way here.
Gowanbuster 9/1 7th -1pt
Lay bet Sixcor +1pt
Total 0pts
Total on the day +4.5pts
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