A typical sort of day where the 2 races I'm interested in are the first and last races of the day, its a pity there's only 7 runners here as I don't usually have an each way bet with only two places to compete for. I have got negatives against five of the runners in this race which doesn't happen very often but it might be ideal for me in this race, I could lay anything that's a single figure price except for Real Estate 7/2 who is my 2nd top rated but this horse has only won once before from 19 attempts but could go ok here and maybe the one for the forecast but my money will be riding on MOVEONUP 7/2 who is my top rated and the only known front running type in the race and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up from the win it recorded last time out and the apprentice jockey has a very good strike rate for the stable.
Moveonup 7/2 3rd -1pt
Total -1pt
NEWBURY 8.40
Eleven runners but just the one known front runner so the pace could be set by Enduring but it would need to improve time wise to win this race but might be one to lay in running, looking at the tissue prices Libertus 3/1 is forecast to be the favourite mainly because its a 3to and finished 2nd last time it ran but that run might have flattered it as it was a slow run race and if this race is run at a fast early gallop then this horse might need a longer distance to show its best, there is 3 other 3yo’s in this race the bottom two have shown very little but Kindness 14/1 could be a bit of a hidden danger but I couldn't back or lay it although it wouldn't be a surprise if it did win, Strike 10/1 comes out 3rd best on my figures and usually runs on at the finish after racing at the rear or midfield of the pack so is another that could make the frame, Vape 7/1 comes out in 2nd top spot but the trainer hasn't had a winner for a month now from 12 attempts and the trainers 0-23 record at this course is off-putting, I will be putting my faith in RAINBOW MIRAGE 6/1 who is a hold up type and the jockey booking looks a positive as the jockey won on its only ride so far for this stable but its been a long time since the stable last had a winner but they have only sent out 8 runners during that time so that can be excused.
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