Only 7 runners which I always hate I prefer 8 for each way purposes, there looks to be plenty of early pace in the race but it think they will be setting it up for something coming from off the pace, all 3 of the possible pacesetters, Merhoob, Impeach and Charming Kid could make the frame, if pushed I would side with Impeach as the one to do best of the trio as Merhoob may need this run for fitness and Charming Kid has been in poor form, I will look to lay Ooh Is It 9/2 who may struggle to stay the trip with a fast early pace which I expect will happen here, the top weight COUNT OTTO 11/1 has been running in better class races than this one and its best time over this course and distance from 2021 would see it back to winning ways and the jockey does have a decent 18% win ratio for the stable.
Count Otto 11/1 1st +11pts
Total +11pts
LINGFIELD 4.35
Another race where there looks to be plenty of early pace in the race with 4 that have been known to lead before, Bowling Russian would win this race if able to reproduce its best rating from 2020 but it hasn't been in form lately and its best from last year was well below the previous years best, Twilight Heir and Stay Smart would need to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me thinking that Swiss Pride may do best of the front runners but the trainers last winner was 28 runners and 54 days ago, I think that Pure Dreamer 9/1 may need this run for fitness after being off for 568 days and a longer trip may also be better for it so I will put it up as a lay if it stays a single figure price near the off, my money will be riding on LILKIAN 11/4 who has both good trainer and jockey stats which is usually a positive.
Lilkian 5/1 5th -1pt
Lay bet Pure Dreamer -5.5pts
Total -6pts
Total on the day +5pts
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