Afield of 9 runners in this class five apprentice jockeys race, I'm not sure what to expect from Alablaq who therefore could be a bit of a hidden danger as its best time from the AW surface at Lingfield but hasn't any form over this distance on turf, as for something to lay both *Follow Your Heart 15/2 and Mostallim 7/1 fit the bill, the former's trainer is 0-42 at this course and doesn't seem to like good to firm ground while the latter races as though a longer distance would suit it better, I've got Rainbow Mirage as my 2nd top rated but its only win on good to firm ground was in a class 6 race, the only horse that's known as a front running type is GIOGIOBBO 6/1 who also happens to be my top rated using just ratings recorded on grass and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch.
*NR
Giogiobbo 6/1 4th -1pt
Lay bet Mostallim +1pt
Total 0pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 3.40
Ten runners in this class 6 race but this time there is three known front running types so it should be a true run affair although all 3 of them are forecast to be double figure prices and none are in my top 3 ratings, I think Arzaak 6/1 is a better prospect when racing on the Polytrack surface so might be worth laying in this race, I will also be looking to lay Glorious Charmer 11/4 as the trainer is 0-11 in the last 2 weeks and I think it will probably need a longer distance on the AW surfaces as most of its best form has come over further, Nachom comes out as my 3rd top rated and is normally held up for a late run, sitting in 2nd top spot is Billy Dylan 14/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on dourly at the finish so could be worth an each way interest but i will be pinning my hopes on ADMIRABLE LAD 14/1 (EW) who also likes to track the leaders and then runs on well at the finish and at the price i have to give it as an each way wager.
Admirable Lad 14/1 7th -2pts
Lay bet Glorious Charmer +1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -1pt
No comments:
Post a Comment