A 6 runner race with two known front runners amongst them, King Of Tonga 10/3 may need further to shine and Red Walls 9/2 might prefer some cut in the ground so I will look to lay both of them if of value, I've only got 1lb between Birkenhead 13/2 and a possible pacesetter in High Security 11/2 although I think its doubtful it will be able to lead in this race, Lost My Sock 7/1 is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish but my top rated is the front running DAPPER MAN 3/1 who is more than capable of leading all the way in this race its trainer has a reasonable strike rate at this course and its run 6 days ago will have got it primed to win this race.
Dapper Man 8/1 3rd -1pt
Lay bets King Of Tonga -1pt, Red Walls +1pt
Total -1pt
ASCOT 5.10
A class 4 dash over the minimum trip but I can only see Araifjan 9/1 as the possible pacesetter but I doubt it can lead all the way and may struggle to even make the frame but never say never, even though it won last time out in a slow time on the AW, Mulzim 9/2 may prefer a longer trip and the make-up of this race might not help it so it could be worth laying, Full Authority 8/1, Mohareb 25/1 and Phoenix Star 9/1 also may need further to show their best, Celsius 8/1 comes out 3rd best on my figures so could make the frame, Pettochside 10/1 ran well last time out when finishing 3rd in a slightly higher class race but may have been flattered in that race but could make the frame again if in the right mood but it is a 13yo who seems on a downward spiral, my money will be invested on HAN SOLO BERGER 9/2 who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish.
Hans Solo Berger 14/1 9th -1pt
Total -1pt
MUSSELBURGH 7.25
I cannot see a natural front runner in this race but Angel Eyes 20/1 has led before when nothing else wants to but its still a maiden after 37 runs so not for me and the bookies agree, Orchid Rose has a time from Ripon last year that is now beginning to look like a bit of a fluke rating where it got towed along in a fast run affair, the betting will decide if I lay anything in this race but, Stronsay 10/1, Stroxx 10/1, Lord Of The Glen 8/1 and Gorgeous Gabolina 14/1 are ones to consider looking at the early tissue prices but need to be a single figure price near the off time, I've got joint top rated horses in Koropick who has only won once from 20 runs on grass while the trainer is 0-13 at this course and the jockey is 0-2 for the stable so I will be backing the other top rated horse MOKAMAN 8/1 who’s trainer has a 26% win ratio at this course and the jockey has a 17% win ratio for the stable with the only downside being that the trainer hasn't had a winner in the last 41 days from 27 runners which will temper the strength of my bet.
Mokaman 8/1 1st +8pts
Lay bets Stronsay +1pt, Stroxx +1pt
Total +10pts
Total on the day +8pts
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