SYMBOL OF HOPE hasn't shown much in its recent runs and I think it will be an outsider and it might need this run after over 100 days off from racing.
USTATH has shown nothing speed wise since 2020 and might have been flattered when finishing 2nd last time out plus jockey is 0-13 so maybe one to lay.
TAHONTA finished 2nd last time out when the surface might have been riding slow but may be better over further so I couldn't back or lay.
AMAZING AMAYA comes out as my 2nd top rated using my speed figures which it recorded here this year and could make the frame so maybe an each way bet.
PURPLE POWER another that might have only ran here when the going was riding slower than usual but also might need further, I couldn't back or lay.
LOUISE TREIZE has only slow times over this course and distance and usually tries to stay on at the business end of its races over this distance.
MOP'S GEM this one may need this run for fitness, also has shown very little of note and I expect it will be an unfancied outsider.
DAYSAQ I'm not convinced this horse likes this Tapeta surface compared to Polytrack and hasn't been in very good form in its recent races.
COUNTRY CHARM this one did record a good speed figure at Newcastle but that is now looking like a fluke when towed along in a fast run race.
ROCKLEY POINT 14/1 (EW) showed a glimpse of what it can do last time out finishing 2nd over 5 furlongs and it is capable of doing the same over this 6 furlong distance and could lead all the way.
LUCKYANGEL ha shown nothing worthwhile time wise or form wise and I expect it will be the biggest outsider in the race.
SUMMARY: Firstly I will look to lay Daysaq if its a single figure price while I will be having an each way wager on ROCKLEY POINT 14/1 (EW) who I think is bigger in price because it ran over 5 furlongs last time when finishing 2nd but has also led over this distance and looks the value call in the race.
Rockley Point 25/1 4th -2pts
Total -2pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15 Div II
DARING GUEST its best rating from 2021 here wouldn't be good enough to win this race and it seems a better prospect when racing over further and I would lay it if of value to do so.
ADMIRABLE LAD is my 2nd top rated on just recent, 2021/22 course and distance speed figures and could be an each way prospect.
LUCIA CHANGRETTA has only poor form to its name and it would be a surprise if it wins here but i expect it to be an outsider.
YOU'RE COOL could well be the one to set the pace to this race and it is my top rated and that's using a rating it recorded here this year and has a positive looking jockey booking.
CLASHANISKA comes out in joint 4th top spot using recent course and distance ratings so could possibly make the frame and usually stays on at the finish over this distance.
GLORIOUS CHARMER is the other 4th joint top rated and runs to its best on more than one occasion every so often so could make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price.
TOMMYTWOHOOTS I expect this horse to be one of the outsiders and it seems a bit of a weak finisher whether running over this distance or further so not for me in this race.
PADDY POWER has been in poor form in its most recent runs but does come out in 3rd top spot using its best rating from 2021.
VITESSE DU SON hasn't shown much of note recently or in any of its races so it would be a shock winner and an outsider in the betting.
ISABELLE RUBY I had to go back to 2019 to find this ones best rating but would need to improve on it to win this race and another outsider price-wise.
SPARKLING DIAMOND this one looks the worst of them all and i would think the rank outsider and a miracle if it wins this race.
SUMMARY: I could look to lay Daring Guest if its a single figure price at the off as for the winner i will have to back YOU'RE COOL 11/2 who has a good chance here of being able to set the early pace to the race and should then prove hard to catch and luckily it doesn't have to lead but I will be happier if it leads from start to finish.
You're Cool 11/2 9th -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -3pts
No comments:
Post a Comment