HURAIZ 10/1 has run recently on this surface but at Southwell and its best speed figure for this course and distance would leave it short of winning this race and might be a better prospect when racing over further.
ORNATE 18/1 is one of the three known front running types in this race but this nine year old seems to be on a downward spiral and has been running quite poorly lately but its best from 2020 would make it my 2nd top rated but on recent form it has to be an outsider.
IDOAPOLOGISE 12/1 hasn't any form on this course and may be able to show its true worth when racing over a longer distance and I think this is one that I will be looking to lay especially if its as low as the tissue price forecast of five to one.
OOH IS IT 9/2 is the second of the potential pacesetters in this race but time wise it would need to improve to win this race but this four year old may be capable of improving so its one I couldn't lay or back.
ATLYAH 5/1 this one is my top rated on just 2021/22 course and distance speed figures and that figure is good enough for third top on my overall figures, it has good trainer, 17%, and jockey, 22% stats so maybe its expected to run a big race here.
CHARMING KID 6/1 this one is a possible front runner but only when its allowed an easy lead and can set a slower pace than usual which I don't think will happen here and needs to improve time wise to feature in this race and could be worth laying if a single figure price.
SHOW ME A SUNSET 9/2 has a relatively low speed figure rating for a class four race and i think this one is another that will be a better prospect when racing over a longer distance and has only average trainer/jockey stats so might be worth laying at the price.
ROYDMOOR 5/1 is the third horse that I think could lead this race, it has a rating which is good enough for 2nd top spot on just 2021/22 ratings but its best figure from 2020 makes it my top rated and could therefore lead all the way.
THE DALEY EXPRESS 14/1 can be held up or track the leaders but it hasn't shown much time wise since 2020 and age may be catching up with this eight year old and I expect it will be a double figure price.
ZAPPER CASS 16/1 has relatively slow times over this course and distance and I think that might be due to it looking as though a longer distance would see it in a better light and I expect it will be an outsider.
SUMMARY: There is 4 horses that have been known to lead before although I doubt Charming Kid will be fast enough to lead in this race but I am hoping that ROYDMOOR 5/1 can lead and then prove too fast and strong for others that like to race at the fore and being my top rated using a 2020 figure it recorded at Newcastle but just in case the front runner battle too hard with each other and fade nearing the finish then ATLYAH 5/1 could be the one to prosper and it is my top rated on just recent, 2021/22, speed figures and has good trainer/jockey stats which makes me connections are expecting a big run from it and i will be backing them both in this race to cover the angles.
Roydmoor 11/2 3rd -1pt
Atlyah 5/1 5th -1pt
Total -2pts
Total on the day -2pts
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