IMPEACH 3/1 one of four known front runners in this race but stall eight isn't ideal and would need to improve time wise to win this race although it hasn't any distance form on the Tapeta surface but at the price I would look to lay it.
PATSY FAGAN 11/4 usually races in midfield or tracks the leaders but its another that will need to improve time wise to win this race so another I would risk laying at the price.
SEAS OF ELZAAM this one usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on well nearing the finish but I doubt this one can get to the front in time and may need further to shine.
TRIBUTA has led and won over this course and distance but it was a slow run affair so it might have been flattered by that result.
WATER OF LEITH 16/1 (EW) comes out third top on 2021/22 speed figures but has a rating from 2020 that makes it my top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish so at the price I will have to have an each way punt.
PORTELET BAY is the third possible pacesetter to this race and it is second top on just 2021/22 ratings but that is only good enough for fourth best on my overall figures.
CREEK HARBOUR 8/1 from stall two this one could gain control of the rails and a time from Lingfield would make it my second top rated but I am not sure this surface suits this runner so maybe one to lay.
SECRET POTION has poor form in its latest runs and its one run over this course and distance resulted in a slow time which didn't register on my figures so another to possibly lay.
DESERT LIME 4/1 has the top rating on just 2022 course and distance times but that rating is only good enough for third top spot overall and may not catch the leaders but could make the frame but isn't what I would call an each way price.
SUMMARY: There could be one or two runners to lay but the betting nearing the off time will decide which ones as for winning this race, Creek Harbour and Portelet Bay may do best of the front running types with Desert Lime and WATER OF LEITH 16/1 (EW) known to stay on strongly at the finish and the latter who is my top rated using a speed figure it recorded here in 2020 will be carrying my money hoping it finishes the stronger in the closing stages.
Lay bets must be priced single figure odds
Water Of Leith 16/1 2nd +2.2pts
Lay bets Impeach +1pt, Patsy Fagan +1pt
Total +4.2pts
Total on the day +4.2pts
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