An eleven runner race with two known front runners and neither Maahle Ve 12/1 or Mr Moneypenny 25/1 can be written off as potential winners, the former could be better than its shown so far as this is its first run over this distance and has faded over a furlong further so this drop in distance could suit while the latter is 3rd top on my figures and only 2lbs below my top rated horse, Million Reasons 4/1 is another that's faded over 7 furlongs and dropped back to six furlongs here and could dangerous, my 2nd top rated horse is Knockabout Queen 5/1 who is usually held up for a late run and could run on and make the frame but isn't what I would call an each way price but you wouldn't lose money if it made the frame, my money will be riding on BUNGLEDUPINBLUE 7/2 who looks to be coming into form being 4th and then 3rd on its last 2 runs and usually races in midfield before staying the stronger nearing the finish and as its housed in stall 10 sandwiched between the two front running types it could get a good tow into the race and gain a good early position from which to attack late on.
Bungledupinblue 7/2 7th -1pt
Total -1pt
LINGFIELD 4.00
Only six runners with half of them being known to lead and its such a complex race I will be backing one front runner and one that will be trying to come from off the pace, Bowling Russian 18/1 may need this run for fitness and one to lay if a single figure price, I think that SWISS PRIDE 11/1 could set the pace to the race and could be hard to catch as it is my 2nd top rated using a c/d figure it recorded in 2021 and the trainers in form with 3 wins from 10 runners in the last two weeks, the one coming from off the pace that is my top rated is EL HOMBRE 5/1 who recorded its best time in 2020 but did record a competitive figure in 2021, so two bets to cover the angles.
Swiss Pride 11/1 6th -1pt
El Hombre 17/2 7th -1pt
Total -2pts
KEMPTON 7.00
There's four known front runners amongst the nine runners in this race but I think they will set the race up for something coming from off the pace, I think the top four in the handicap have questions to answer and may struggle to get involved in the finish as all of them would need to improve time wise to win this race, I expect that Notoriously Risky, Lua De Mel and Mahale to battle for the lead being my fourth to second top rated but if COME ON GIRL 6/5 can reproduce its best speed figure which it recorded at Lingfield it would be winning a shade cosily but I think it might be a shortish priced favourite.
Come On Girl 6/5 4th -1pt
Total -1pt
Total on the day -4pts
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