There is a couple of known front runners in this field of 11, Grandfather Tom 8/1 who has been in poor form lately and I would look to lay this one if its a single figure price and the 3yo Amasova 7/1 but this one would need to improve time wise to win this race but could be dangerous if allowed a soft lead, this doesn't seem to be the favoured surface for Capla Spirit 4/1 but it does still come out 4th best on my figures so could make the frame if others falter but I am doubtful it can win this race, Its Wonderful 20/1 may need further to shine as might the 3yo Portelet Bay 13/2, I've got Tantastic 5/1 as my 3rd top rated and this one can either be held up or track the leaders but I'm not sure its an each way price, the old timer You're Cool 18/1 comes out 2nd best on a course and distance figure recorded earlier this year but has been quite inconsistent lately but I will be investing my money on the 3yo ADMIRABLE LAD 7/2 who won last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up in this race and its only the stall 11 draw that looks of any concern but if granted a clear run it could win with a little bit in hand.
Admirable Lady 5/1 8th -1pt
Lay bet: Grandfather Tom -4.5pts
Total -5.5pts
CHELMSFORD 6.50
There's 3 possible pacesetters amongst the 10 runners in this race, the 13yo Tropics would have had every chance in this race even 2 years ago but is getting slowly slower with age each year and its best from this year leaves it outside my top 3 ratings, one I will look to lay if of value to do so is Restless Endeavour 6/1 who may prefer a longer distance and has never won over this trip, The Greatestshowman 5/1 won last time out but hasn't run at this course this year and its best time from 2020 wouldn't be good enough to make the frame but it is good form so never say never, Red Walls 6/1 also won last time out but this race looks a bit better affair and I'm not sure it can win this race, Jack The Truth 9/2 comes out 3rd best using a time from 2020 but isn't really an each way price, in this race I will be backing 2 horses to cover the angles, ARAIFJAN 8/1 who is a front running type and if getting to the front from stall 10 it could prove hard to catch and may squeeze up some of those drawn inside of it and that might enhance its chances so has to carry some of my money but I will also be backing INVINCIBLE LARNE 8/1 who last time out recorded fast time when finishing 3rd and has been found a good chance to go even better here and with a clear run it could win this race but it is 94 days since the stable last had a winner which is a little off putting and the one of the reasons i will be backing 2 horses in this race.
Araifjan 8/1 7th -1pt
Invincible Larne 8/1 5th -1pt
Lay bet Restless Endeavour +1pt
Total -1pts
Total on the day -6.5pts
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