A class 2 conditions race which looks very competitive on paper but the lack of a pacesetter muddies the water, I would normally look to lay Live In The Moment 7/1 as it can struggle to stay the distance if there's a good fast early pace so it might be ok in this race while the bottom weight Bahrain Pride might prefer a slower surface but is dropped in class to run here, Tabdeed and Soldiers Minute are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses but I will have a small wager on STYLISH PERFORMER 14/1 who is forecast to be the outsider in the field but it has won its last 2 races so is in cracking form and looks the value call in the race.
Stylish Performer 14/1 4th -1pt
Lay bet: Live In The Moment +1pt
Total 0pts
KEMPTON 8.00 Div I
A pretty poor race even for a class 6 affair, the early pace could be set by Coolagh Magic 15/8 as its versatile with its racing tactics and has led before, I will look to lay Bama Lama 11/2 who has won its last 2 races both times on this surface but both were slow run affairs and I think it will be lower in the market than its actual chance of winning, the rest of those with a speed figure all have negatives against their names so I will be putting my pennies on RAINBOW MIRAGE 9/2 who is my top rated on just 2021 times and they are the most important unless something has a good reason why its not performed well lately and is then what could be called a dark horse, the race will not take much winning so again it will be low stakes.
*NR
Rainbow Mirage 9/2 4th -1pt
Total -1pt
KEMPTON 8.30 Div II
This division is even worse and only the two at the top of the handicap have times fast enough to register on my graphs, Moonshiner 4/1 could be a bit of a dark horse as it ran on over 5 furlongs but faded over this distance but I couldn't back or lay it but I will look to lay both Rubee Forty 7/1 and Mr Moneypenny 4/1 who are both still maidens after 10 and 7 races respectively, of the top two in the handicap I cannot split them and will be backing both ACES 6/1 and QUEEN OF BURGUNDY 4/1 the former has a time from Lingfield that makes it my top rated by quite a few spots but can struggle to stay the distance if the early pace is really fast but I cannot see what will lead so it could be ok in the make-up of this race, while the latter is my top rated on just 2021 times and the trainer has a good record at this course.
Queen Of Burguny 4/1 1st +4pts
Lay bets: Rubee Forty +1pt, Mr Moneypenny +1pt
Total +6pts
Total on the day +5pts
No comments:
Post a Comment