ROCK BOY GREY 11/1 has only ran once so far this year and will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win this race.
NIGEL NOTT 11/2 is a known front running type and could lead here and if doing so prove hard to catch and its best time from 2020 would make it my joint top rated.
TOUSSARAK 7/1 is a 3yo who is my top rated on just 2021 times and only 2lbs below top spot on my overall figures so could go well here.
CRIMSON SAND 7/2 recorded its best time this year and this 3yo could improve further and would need to if it wants to win this race.
GREAT NEWS 4/1 may need a longer distance before it shows its best form, this is its AW debut but would need to improve on its best turf time to be winning here.
LETMELIVEMYLIFE 8/1 has got good jockey stats and time wise its my joint top rated on its best time from Lingfield.
YIMOU 11/1 hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 and its best from that year wouldn't be good enough to win this race.
COTTAM LANE 9/2 has led before and hasn't run on the AW before but would need to improve on its turf speed figures to win this race.
TRUMBLE 22/1 hasn't ant AW form but i think it needs a longer distance to show its true worth and I expect it will be an outsider.
SUMMARY: Both Great News and Cottam Lane will need to improve on their turf times to win this race and might be worth taking on if they are short priced, I think/hope that. NIGEL NOTT 11/2 can lead in this race and then it could prove hard to catch being my joint top rated, TOUSSARAK 7/1 is the other joint top rated and could prosper if the front runner doesn't set the right fractions to the race and then I also have to consider LETMELIVEMYLIFE 8/1 who is rated 2lbs lower on my overall figures but is my top rated for just this year and I hope I can dutch all 3 of them to make a profit.
Letmelivemylife 10/1 6th -1pt
Toussarak 14/1 7th -1pt
Nigel Nott 11/2 9th -1pt
Lay bets: Great News +1pt, Cottam Lane +1pt
Total -1pt
CHELMSFORD 7.30 Div I
Not a great race and the 2nd division is so poor I will be leaving it alone but I think I can find the winner of this 1st division although it wont be a big price, I can only see 1 known front runner in the field of 12 and that will be my selection, I will be laying the top weight Big Impact 11/8 at the price as I think its either too far for it or the wrong going or maybe both, the trainer is 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its over a month since they last did have a winner, Jorvik Prince is another that might struggle to stay if there's a fast early pace which I expect VINCENZO COCCOTTI 7/2 to set here and I'm hoping it can lead all the way to follow up its win last time out and it is actually a bigger price than i was anticipating.
Vincenzo Coccotti 7/2 9th -1pt
Lay bet Big Impact -1.2pts
Total -2.2pts
Total on the day -3.2pts
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