A field of 11 with just one known front running type and I think Mount Mogan 4/1 will set a decent pace to he race but I doubt it can hold on for the win as its not in my top 4 ratings so may be worth laying at the price, I will look to lay Under Curfew 11/2 who may find this distance too far for it and Seas Of Elzaam who might get outpaced here and will be staying on too late to get the win as long as they are single figure prices, Inaam will be staying on at the finish and is my joint 4th top rated along with Mr Trick who will also be staying on but maybe too late for the win and might struggle to make the frame if my top rated horses run to their best, The Lamplighter 12/1 sits in 3rd top spot and is another that usually runs on at the business end of a race and could be worth an each way bet at the price, the 3yo Royal Musketeer 9/1 comes out as 2nd top on my figures and usually tracks the leaders before keeping on strongly nearing the finish and might be worth an each way price as might my top rated CHOOKIE DUNEDIN 10/1 (EW) this one hasn't had a run over this course and distance this year but a repeat of its best time from last year would see it winning a shade cosily but the jockeys 0-6 record for this stable is a little off-putting so I will go with a small each way bet.
Chookie Dunedin 10/1 5th -2pts
Total -2pts
KEMPTON 7.00
A poor turnout of just 7 runners but luckily there is one known front runner in the lineup, I would look to lay Ice Station Zebra 10/3 if it wasn't for it good trainer/jockey stats but I'm not sure this surface will suit it and at the price offered it might be of value to have a small lay on it, Treacherous 11/1 is my 3rd top rated using a time when it won in 2020, its sole run over this course and distance this year resulted in a slow time plus the jockeys 0-11 for the stable doesn't inspire confidence, Open Wide 13/2 is my 2nd top rated again using a 2020 time and usually runs on at the finish but this one also has a poor jockey stat this time its 1-26 so I will be relying on PAPA STOUR 11/2 who is my top rated using a time it recorded at Chelmsford this year and this one has got good jockey stats while the big plus is that's its the only known front running type in the race and has the plum stall one draw.
Papa Stour 11/2 4th -1pt
Lay bet Ice Station Zebra +1pt
Total 0pts
Total on the day -2pts
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