A 7 runner race with no known front runners which is always a pain, I will look to lay Be Proud 5/1 who may need further to show its best and this race might not be run at a fast early gallop which wont help its cause, another possible lay is Manigordo 5/1 as I think it might be slightly outclassed in this race and the stable has another runner GOLDEN APOLLO 4/1 in the race who has a better chance of winning this race and will be staying on strongly at the business end of the race, my top rated horse is EMBOUR 5/1 so has to considered as a possible winner and if it wasn't for the trainers poor 0-46 record at this course it would most likely have been my only bet in the race.
Embour 6/1 5th -1pt
Golden Apollo 6/1 6th -1pt
Lay bets Be Proud +1pt, Manigordo +1pt
Total 0pts
HAYDOCK 2.55
I can see 2 horses in this race that like to front run in the top weight who might not be good enough to hold on for the win even if it does get to the front and MACHREE 8/1 who could be very hard to catch if it does get to the front but it isn't my top rated so I will also be backing SOUND OF IONA 11/2 who is usually held up for a late run and this race could be run to suit its best racing tactic, I will look to lay Global Humor 5/1 who has done all of its winning over longer distances and may stay on too late to win this race.
Sound Of Iona 7/1 +7pts
Machree 14/1 8th -1pt
Lay bet Global Humour +1pt
Total +7pts
ASCOT 4.10
A nice looking 8 runner class 4 race with 2 horses Equinao Springs and the top weight Aljari being known as a front running types but I doubt the latter can hold on for the win and its best speed figures have come from AW races but would still need to improve on those speed figures to win this race while the former comes out 3rd best on my figures so could do enough to make the frame, Louie de Palma is my 2nd top rated using a 2020 time at Windsor which seems to be a favoured course for it as its best this year was also recorded there, top rated is SPIRITED GUEST 7/1 who usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the strongest at the finish.
Spirited Guest 11/1 5th -1pt
Total -1pt
PONTEFRACT 7.00
Unlucky for some is this 13 runner race but luckily there is 3 known front running types in this race, I'm not sure price wise if there's anything worth laying but the betting will guide me more on the day, Singe Anglais has been in decent form lately but the trainers 1-42 win ratio at this course is off-putting it could possibly make the frame being my 2nd top rated but maybe its got a future target in mind, Mr Orange could go well if able to reproduce its best 2020 speed figure as could the 3yo Royal Advice, MOTAWAAZY 5/1 who is in real good form lately could set the pace here and comes out in 3rd top spot just 1lb from being my 2nd top rated and if getting to the front could be hard to catch and it does have good jockey stats, my top rated horse DENY KNOWLEDGE 11/2 is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics and that includes leading but it could be held up here for a late run while it also has good jockey stats so I will back them both to cover the angles of a front runner and a finishing type.
Motawaazy 5/1 1st +5pts + EX £15.60
Deny Knowledge 11/2 2nd -1pt
Total +4pts
PONTEFRACT 7.30
For a class 3 race this is a very tricky looking race where I cannot find anything to lay and also cannot narrow it down to less than 2 horses, Victory Angel is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd best of overall figures so could make the frame, KING OF STARS 10/3 is the one i expect to set the pace to this race and is my top rated on just 2021 speed figures which is good enough for 2nd top spot on my overall figures so has to be respected while INDIAN SOUNDS 15/2 has been a bit below its best so far this year but if reproducing its best time from 2020 at Bath it becomes my top rated so also has to be respected and once again i am going with 2 bets to cover the angles.
King Of Stars 10/3 1st +3.33pts +EX £10.30
Indian Sounds 15/2 2nd -1pt
Total +2.33pts
Total on the day +12.33pts
No comments:
Post a Comment