Not a bad looking class 6 race but there isn't any known front running types amongst them and in this race I am hoping the early pace isn't a frantic one, Our Man In Havana has good jockey stats and comes out 4th best on my figures, in 3rd top spot I've got Knockabout Queen who has average trainer/jockey stats and could make the frame, I've got joint top rated horses in WIFF WAFF 6/1 and I'M WATCHING YOU 25/1 the former is held up for a late run while the latter usually runs in midfield or tracks the leaders and I will be backing the both of them with the latter being worth an each way interest at the price.
I'm Watching You 25/1 5th -2pts
Wiff Waff 7/1 Unp -1pt
Total -3pts
CHEPSTOW 2.15
This is a tricky looking race where I have got 5 horses that all look to have some chance of winning this race, Oh So Nice is one of the 2 known front running types in the race but only comes out 5th of them, Toptime the other possible pacesetter comes out 4th of the five with winning chances so they may set the race up for something coming from off the pace, Alba Del Sole is 3rd top rated using a 2020 time recorded at Ripon but hasn't been in as good a form so far this year, Katherine Place is my 2nd top rated and once again its using a 2020 time this time from Lingfield my top rated horse AQUADABRA 25/1 is top rated using just 2021 times and has an even faster time from 2020 that also makes it my top rated on overall speed figures and I'm hoping this one will be an each way price as a bit of insurance.
Aquadabra 25/1 6th -2pts
Total -2pts
WINDSOR 5.25
I expect that Fernando Rah will set the pace to this race but time wise it only comes out in 5th top spot so may struggle to lead all the way, the bottom weight Lady Celia is capable of running a fast time but usually in lower class races than this one but could still go well, the 3yo Koolmoe Dee comes out 2nd best but that is using a time recorded at Bath in 2020 and this years best has been way below that standard, my top rated on 2021 times is HURAIZ 7/1 who recorded it over this course and distance but will have to bounce back to form from what its achieved in its recent runs and i am hoping it will be an each way price as a bit of insurance.
Huraiz 11/2 5th -1pt
Total -1pt
WINDSOR 5.55
An 11 runner race with 2 known front runners, Tanfantic is one of them but would need to improve timewise to stay there till the end as its only 5th joint top rated on my figures the other frontrunner is SMEATONS LIGHT 13/2 who is my joint top rated on just 2021 times and 2nd joint top on overall times so it could be hard to catch and has decent trainer/jockey stats, TEMPLE BRUER 10/1 is the other joint 2nd top rated on overall figures and this one has even better trainer/jockey stats so it looks like both sets of connections are expecting big runs in this race but i do have EQUITATION 5/1 with a higher rating but this ones best time does come from 2020 in its defense though it hasn't any form on good or good to firm going recently so if fully fit it could win, so i will be dutching the 3 of them.
Smeaton's Light 13/2 3rd -1pt
Temple Bruer 10/1 7th -1pt
Equitation 10/1 9th -1pt
Total on the day -9pts
No comments:
Post a Comment