GLOBAL WARNING 3/1 is 0-5 on its turf form, it does have a time on the AW from Newcastle which would make it my 3rd top rated so I'm not sure whether I could back it or lay it so maybe best left alone.
BEAUTY CHOICE 8/1 has only relatively slow times over this distance and maybe better when tried over further plus the good to firm ground might not be to its liking, the trainer has a 27% win ratio at this course but is 0-6 with the older horses while the apprentice is 1-1 for the stable, contradicting data so what will happen I've no idea.
BAY WATCH 9/2 is another with relatively slow times and it might be better when running over a longer distance, it also has a poor jockey stats so one I would look to lay at the price.
EVASIVE POWER 4/1 doesn't make my top 5 time wise while the trainer is 0-10 at this course and it is another that i will look to lay in this race at the price.
THE LAMPLIGHTER 9/2 has a 2021 time that would make it my 2nd top rated and the time recorded over this c/d in 2020 would see it winning a little cosily.
MOUNT MOGAN 10/1 hasn't any form to its name on good to firm ground and its best time on the AW track at Wolverhampton would only make it 5th top on my figures.
EPSOM FAITHFUL recorded its best time in 2019 and hasn't been near that level since then and that time isn't good enough to make my top 3 so maybe one to lay if a single figure price.
SPRING BLOOM 10/1 (NON RUNNER) this is the only known front runner in the field and does come out 2nd best on my figures so could prove hard to catch and maybe even steal the race from the front.
SUMMARY: There is a few I will look to lay if they are single figure prices so I cannot say anything more until I've seen the betting, I think that Spring Bloom will set the pace and being my 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch if getting to the front and I might actually have a smaller covering bet on this horse but my main stake will be on THE LAMPLIGHTER 9/2 who recorded its best time over this c/d which is always a positive and could catch the leader nearing the finish.
The Lamplighter 9/2 1st +4.5pts (Betfair SP -)
Total on the day +4.5pts
No comments:
Post a Comment