With 11 runners I'm surprised there isn't at least one known pacesetter in their midst plus I cannot find anything of value to put up as a lay, George Bowen is my 3rd top rated using a time from Hamilton recorded this year, my 2nd top rated is MANIGORDO 10/1 who is usually found to be running on in the closing stages so it will be hoping there is at least a decent early pace and the jockey has a 15% win rate on this stables older horses, my top rated is RATHBONE 7/2 and this one recorded its best time this year over this c/d and if the apprentice is worth the 7lb claim then it would help its cause greatly but I will be backing them both just in case the apprentice, who is 0-4 for today's stable, rides a poor race.
Rathbone 5/1 +5pts
Manigordo 10/1 7th -1pt
Total +4pts
MUSSELBURGH 4.35
A 10 runner race where half the field have been known to lead before but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace but maybe Abel Handy could do best of those racing from the front, Never Bark my 4th top rated and Sound Of Iona who is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up for a late run so this race may be run to suit its style, both recorded their best times this year actually add my 2nd top rated Good Luck Fox into that list but this one recorded its best time this year over this c/d but I will be siding with NORTH WIND 7/2 who usually runs on strongly at the finish over this distance after tracking the leaders so this race will be right up its street.
North Wind 5/1 6th -1pt
Total -1pt
KEMPTON 8.35
I would like to lay *Al Asef if under 5/1 who I think struggles to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace but I am not sure what will lead or how fast a pace will be set, anything else with a negative against its name I think will all be double figures prices, I'm going with backing 2 horses in this race, LILKIAN 14/1 comes out 2nd top rated using its best time from Chelmsford and is also 2nd best on recent, 2020/21, c/d times but I do have LETHAL ANGEL 10/1 rated 2lbs higher who usually stays on strongly at the finish and this ones best time also comes from Chelmsford but that was this year which is a positive so two each way bets looks the way to go.
*NR
Lilkian 20/1 5th -2pts
Lethal Angel 10/1 8TH -2pts
Total on the day -1pt
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