Just the 8 runners with 5 of them being known to lead before and I have a feeling they might push each other too hard and something will come off the pace to pick them up nearing the finish, normally I would lay Lady Quickstep as this distance can be too short but as long as it doesn't get tailed off in the early stages it could run on to be thereabouts at the business end of the race with a mad early pace, Boudica Bay, Something Lucky and Qaaraat could run well but I'm hoping YOU'RE COOL 5/1 can track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and if the leaders do fade pick them all up in the closing stages.
You're Cool 6/1 6th -1pt
Total -1pt
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30
There is a couple I will look to lay, (Shoot to Kill 5/1 + Jumira Bridge 11/2) as usual as long as they are single figure prices, the early pace looks likely to be set by Freedom Flyer and this being only its 4th race it could still improve and could be a danger if allowed an easy lead, Street Parade, Inaam, Diamond Dougal and El Hombre have shown pieces of form which would make them competitive but i will be going with KAPONO 9/1 (EW) who at first glance doesn't appear to be in good form but a lot of its runs have been over 7 furlongs and i think this drop back down in distance could see it bounce back to form so looks the value call in this race and i am hoping its going to be an each way price so I can back it each way.
Kapono 9/1 ew 2nd +1pt
Lay bets: Shoot To Kill +1pt, Jumaira Bridge +1pt
Total +3pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 Div I
The early pace might be set by Requited but this isn't its ideal surface so doubt it can win from the front, I can find a negative about 7 of the 12 runners and I could look to lay, (Soyounique 5/1 + The Golden Cue 8/1 + Kingsley Klarion 6/1) if they are single figure prices, Ancient Astronaute and Moveonup have good speed figures but they are either from a different surface or from a long time ago, so the bet has to be KATELLI who I expect will be to the fore in the betting and anything from 3/1 or above would look decent value.
Katelli 5/1 4th -1pt
Lay bets: Soyounique -5pts, The Golden Cue +1pt, Kingsley Klarion +1pt
Total -4pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30 Div II
I can only see Major Valentine as a possible pacesetter but this isn't this ones favourite surface so I doubt it can lead all the way, I will look to lay (Manumission 7/2 + Corndavon Lad 15/2) Miracle Garden won last time out in a slowly run race and maybe this race might go too fast for it in the early stages and strictly on form Jungle Boogaloo who it beat in that race is weighted to reverse the form but sometimes after a win a horse seems to have a bit more confidence, Corndavon Lad my need further to shine, Griggy, Wiff Waff and Manumission all seem better over shorter distances, I will be putting my money on the top weight CHOOSEY 12/1 who seems the value call in the race and can be held up for a late run and from stall 1 it could get a good tow into the race by the likely pacesetter coming out of stall 2 and this one is my top rated on recent, 2020/21, c/d times but the apprentice jockeys 0-8 record for this stable isn't ideal but hopefully an each way bet could give some profit.
Choosey 22/1 8th -2pts
Lay bets: Manumission +1pt, Corndavon Lad +1pt
Total 0pts
Total on the day: -2pts
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