I will look to lay Qaaraat if of any value as this trip is usually too far for it also Scale Force for the same reason while Red Jasper and Wrath Of Hector both race as though a longer trip would suit them and the latter has a good time from last year that makes it 2nd top spot on recent c/d times, Marvel would be top rated if using a time from 2019 and may need this run for fitness, I am hoping that YOUNG JOHN 4/1 gets away well and then sets the pace and if leading it should prove hard to catch and has very good trainer/jockey stats making me believe that connections are expecting to get back to winning ways here.
Young John 4/1 6th -1pt
Total - 1pt
SOUTHWELL 3.25
A field of 11 with 3 o them known as front running sorts and 2 of them are my top 2 ratings, Brandy Station, Jeans Maite and possibly Angel Eyes could prosper if they go off too fast and then fade, Archimedes is my 2nd top rated and coming out of stall 8 over this straight five furlong course and could do enough to at least make the frame but I will be backing the other one that I think will attempt to lead, RED STRIPES 6/1 who is only rated 3lbs better but it could be enough to swing things in its favour but it isn't a race I will be betting too heavily in.
Red Stripes 10/1 3rd -1pt
Total -1pt
CHELMSFORD 5.50
Down to 8 runners for this race with just the one runner that has been known to lead before, Global Hope comes out 4th top rated using a Kempton time from 2019 but hasn't no course form to its name and hasn't won any of its previous 10 AW runs, Boy In The Bar comes out 2nd top but again that is using a time from 2019 and neither have been in good form lately, Suzis Connoisseur comes out 2nd top rated on recent c/d times and its a good enough time for 3rd top spot overall which leaves me putting my faith in CAPPANANTY CON 4/1 who I am hoping could lead all the way in this race and has been found a good opportunity to complete the hattrick of wins.
Cappananty Con 9/2 4th -1pt
Total on the day -3pts
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