With a couple of known front runners it gives me a starting point, Giogiobbo has only slow times here from 2 previous runs and Mythmaker a slow time from just one previous c/d run are the likely pacesetters but will need to improve time wise to win this race unless one gets an easy lead and steals the race from the front but I think that's unlikely, I will look to lay just the one horse (Lorna Cole) who will stay on at the finish but too late to get the win, Storm Over and Chookie Dunedin could do battle to make the frame as they are closely rated in 3rd to 4th top positions, Athollblair Boy is my 2nd top rated using a time from 2019 but its best since then has been way below that level but it does well over this c/d winning 4 and placed 7 from 17 runs but my money will b riding on KIND REVIEW 8/1 who will be held up for a late run, its won 2 AW races, one here, placed in 3 other races from just 8 runs.
Kind Review 8/1 3rd (-1pt)
Lay bet: Lorna Cole was in the 7:15 Newcastle (lost) +1pt
Total: 0pts
NEWCASTLE 7.15
There's possibly 3 pacesetters in the field and Leo Minor may do best of them if its gets to the front but this horse is 0-22 on the AW tracks and made the frame once from 4 starts over this c/d which makes me doubt it can/will win, BUNNIAN 4/1 is my 3rd top rated but there's only 3lbs between my top 3, its won 3 and placed 3 times from its 6 previous c/d runs so it should go well, BE PROUD 9/4 who won its last race is top rated using its best time from 2019 and is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice while its best time from 2020 only makes it my 3rd top rated even with the 5lb claim but it should go well, BALLYARE 10/3 is top rated on just recent c/d times and could go one better here after finishing 2nd last time out, its hard to split these three so I will go with dutching them.
Bunnian 4/1 3rd
Be Proud 9/4 4th
Ballyare 9/2 5th
Total (-3pts)
Total on the day: -3pts
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