I can see a few that have virtually (never say never) no chance of winning but they are all big priced outsiders, Billy Dylan is my 4th top rated and usually races in the middle of the pack before staying on and it might make the frame but the jockeys record is 0-3 for the stable, Rockley Point 3/1 my 3rd top rated could be the one to set the pace and could easily do enough to make the frame but obviously isn't an each way price, 2nd top rated is Atrafan 5/1 who is one from one over this c/d and could make the frame but again not an each way price but I'm hoping it wont double its c/d winning tally, my money will be riding on the top weight GIGI'S BEACH 7/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the finish and its trainer has a 21% win ratio at this course.
Gigi's Beach 7/1 2nd (-1pt)
Total -1pt
NEWCASTLE 7.10
Not a great race for a class 4 affair and I cannot see a front running sort among them, Tukhoom has a time from Wolverhampton that would make it 3rd top overall and usually runs on at the finish so this race might not be run to suit it, Spartan Fighter is 2nd top rated on recent (2020/21) times but that is only good enough for 4th spot overall, Athollblair boy has a time from 2019 that would put it in 2nd spot overall but it hasn't shown much lately so I would like to see a sign of something better before I could back it but it wouldn't be the first winner to spring back to form without warning but I will be putting my trust and money in LUCKY LODGE 10/1 (EW) who is top rated, it ran Thursday where it led before fading to finish 4th but that isn't its preferred style of running it usually tracks the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so maybe needed the run to get it spot on for this race and at the double figure price it has to be done each way.
Lucky Lodge 10/1 6th (-2pts)
Total: -2pts
Total on the day: -3pts
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