A class 4 sprint that is the only sprint race for older horses on the day and a poor turnout of only 7 entries and 6 of the 7 runners are 3yo’s so the amount of data available to work with is limited.
I would look to lay Cobra Eye who might be better on a slower surface, Princes Des Sables is a 4yo who has been out of form lately but hasn't run here before so not 100% sure what to expect, Brunels Boy has had only one run over this c/d which resulted in a slow time and its best time from Kempton would still leave it a good few spots off the top rated horses, Bowling Russian is a possible pacesetter in this race if fast enough to do so but does have the advantage of being drawn in stall 1 but is only my 4th top rated on overall figures but 2nd top on just 2020 c/d times, Dazzling Des is my 2nd top rated using a 2019 time and hasn't been near that figure this year but never say never although that is only 1lb higher than NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND 6/4 who recorded its best time over this c/d this year which is always a positive so has to be one I back in the race, meanwhile VANDAD 7/2 is my top rated on a time recorded at Chelmsford and is one of two known front running types in the race and if leading could be hard to catch and would normally be my bet in the race BUT and yes it is a big but, it is still a maiden after 11 attempts and 9 of those races has been on AW tracks including one slow run over this c/d, so I will be backing them both to cover the angles but admittedly there's not a lot of value as they are the first two in the betting.
Vandad 4/1 2nd -1pt
Newyorkstateofmind 6/4 4th -1pt
Lay bet: Cobra Eye +1pt
Total on the day -1pt
No comments:
Post a Comment