There's 3 runners in this race that like to set the pace and maybe Walk On Walter from stall 4 can do the best of them if it can get control of the rails but it hasn't shown much time wise since 2018 so may fade nearing the finish especially if made to battle for the early supremacy, I will look to lay 4 horses who all may struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace which looks more than likely (Leodis Dream + Full Authority + Spanish Angel + Dandy's Gold) Katheefa comes out 4th on my figures and is well housed in stall 3, Steelriver sits in 3rd top spot but this ones times have been recorded in much lower class races than this one, Hart Stopper comes out 2nd best on my figures and this one likes to be held up for a late run so could make the frame but my money will be riding on EL HOMBRE 10/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and in the make-up of this race it could get a good tow into the race from stall 7 and could follow the stall 4 and 6 horses over towards the inside and then gain a good position from which to attack at the finish.
El Hombre 16/1 2nd (-1pt)
Lay bets: Full Authority -2.25pts, Leodis Dream +1pt, Spanish Angel +1pt, Dandy's Gold +1pt
Total: -0.25pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00
This race could be tricky as the stall 1 horse Lezardrieux would like to lead and has the ideal chance but it wants to set a slightly slower pace so it has enough in reserve to see out the finish so I'm hoping my 3rd top rated Equally Fast, who has also been known to lead before when nothing else wants to set a decent pace, will ensure it doesn't get its own way up front and make sure its a true run affair, I would look to lay (Dana Forever) who may struggle to stay the trip with a decent early pace, LUCKY LODGE 13/2 starts off as my joint 3rd top rated using just 2020 times but has a time from 2019 that makes it my overall top rated, my top rated for just this year is BAHUTA ACHA 11/2 who will be running on at the finish if getting a clear run from stall 12, this one also has a faster time from 2019 but that is only good enough for 2nd spot overall, I will be backing both of them hoping at least one of them gets a clear run when attempting to stay on at the finish.
Lucky Lodge 13/2 8th (-1pt)
Bahuta Acha 10/1 Unp (-1pt)
Lay bets: Dana Forever +1pt
Total: -1pt
Total on the day: -1.25pts
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