SUR MER 15/8 usually likes to track the pacesetters and time wise comes out 4th top overall and 2nd top on just 2020 times so could make the frame.
ANNA OF LORRAINE 9/4 hasn't any form over this distance and its races have all been over further and may get outpaced in this race and its poor value in my opinion.
STARS IN THE NIGHT 9/1 hasn't any course form to its name and its best from Newcastle wouldn't see it making the frame so needs to improve for the switch to this track to win here.
ROCKINGHAM JILL 20/1 hasn't run on the AW before and this is its handicap debut, so they could have been deceiving us, but i think it will prefer a longer distance.
SHOW ME THE BUBBLY 7/1 hasn't run on the AW this year but has a time from 2019 that would make it my joint 3rd top rated so could make the frame.
LAPSES LINGURE 33/1 hasn't any c/d form to its name and its another one that i think will be a better prospect when tried over further.
KLOPP 10/1 hasn't any c/d form for this year but has a time from 2019 that would see it winning this race a little cosily so has to be one I will back.
KATH'S LUSTRE 14/1 is my 3rd top rated on just 2020 times but is just outside my top 4 on overall times but could go well but I'm not sure it can win.
KYLLA LOOKS 11/1 has only poor form in all of its 5 runs and this one also looks as though its not really cut out to be a sprinter.
PRECIOUS PLUM 20/1 is my other joint 3rd top rated but that is using a 2019 time while its 2020 times have been relatively slow but it is the only known front runner in the race.
SUMMARY: Despite being drawn in stall 10 I think Precious Plum could be the one to set the pace to the race and it should do enough to make the frame and could perhaps be worth an each way bet but I'm also hoping my main selection KLOPP 10/1 will be big enough to back each way here, I am also thinking the switch to this 5lb claiming apprentice who has a 20% win ratio is an indicator to the connections expecting a big run in this race.
Klopp 10/1 1st (+10pts) Betfair SP (10.05)
Total on the day: +10pts
No comments:
Post a Comment